#数字货币市场洞察 Friday marks a critical moment for the market—the release of Nonfarm Payrolls has been paused tonight, making the Core PCE Price Index the focal point. Although Wednesday's ADP employment data came in below expectations, US stocks still moved higher; yesterday's initial jobless claims were also weak, yet the three major indices closed slightly higher. Bullish sentiment currently dominates the market, so it is advisable to be cautious with aggressive shorting.

From bottom-fishing at the beginning of the month to capturing 2,000–3,000 points in profit from short positions on Wednesday, and then successfully taking profit on the long strategy during yesterday’s pullback—the market is proving one thing: unilateral sell-offs tend to face resistance.

From a technical perspective, after two consecutive days of gains, both Bitcoin and Ethereum turned lower today, but the candlesticks show clear long lower shadows, with prices finding support at the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The downside is limited, and with expectations of a Fed rate cut heating up, the strategy for the evening remains to buy on dips.

**Bitcoin Trading Range**:
Aggressive traders can go long in the $90,500–91,000 range; conservative traders can wait for entry at $89,500–90,000, with a stop-loss near the $89,000 level. Target levels are $92,000–93,000–94,000; if broken, watch the $94,500–95,500–96,000 range. If the rally continues, consider trailing your stop to lock in profits.

For short positions on rebounds, consider entries at $95,000–95,500, with a stop at $96,500. Targets are $94,000–93,000; if those break, watch for support around $92,500–91,000.

**Ethereum Trading Range**:
Long entries at $3,070–3,110; conservative traders can wait for $3,000–3,030, with a stop near $2,950. Upside targets are $3,170–3,200–3,250, breaking which look for $3,300–3,400.

For short positions, consider entering on a rebound to $3,320–3,350, with a stop at $3,400. Targets are $3,280–3,250; if those break, look for $3,200–3,150.

Notably, if Bitcoin does not experience a deep pullback, Ethereum may have room to catch up to $3,500 or even above $3,600. In the current high-level consolidation, blindly chasing shorts carries significant risk. $BTC $ETH