I've been closely watching SOL's price movement lately, and the more I look at it, the more something feels off. No matter how you look at this pattern, it seems like a carefully orchestrated trap, just waiting for bagholders to jump in.



On the fundamentals side, US initial jobless claims have hit new lows, and employment data is unexpectedly strong. The Fed is highly unlikely to rush into rate cuts anytime soon. This is already bad news for the crypto market, and SOL's technicals are weak as well. With pressure from both sides, it's really hard to make a comeback in the short term.

Looking at the technical chart, it's even more obvious: SOL is clearly running in a downward channel, with multiple layers of resistance above and barely any support below. Trading volume keeps shrinking, and the MACD has shown a high-level bearish crossover—this kind of signal usually means the drop is just beginning.

Here are a few practical suggestions: For those with no position or a light position, don't get itchy hands—trying to catch the bottom or chase a rebound are both big mistakes. If you're heavily invested and stuck, you can reduce your position in batches during a rebound. If it breaks below the 137-day moving average and can't recover within half an hour, you should decisively cut your losses.

The market never cares about feelings. When the trend is down, fighting against it will only make you lose more. Stay calm, respect the trend, and that's the only way to survive longer in this market.
SOL-4.33%
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GateUser-22da27e9vip
· 12h ago
So don’t say that a coin has a high price because it has value; all of its “value” comes from retail investors being taken advantage of!
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SnapshotDayLaborervip
· 14h ago
Here we go again, always talking about the death cross meaning a drop—how do people still believe it? SOL really is in a risky spot, but itchy hands will always be itchy. I had my eye on that 137 line a long time ago—if it breaks, I’m out without hesitation. Everyone who tried to catch the bottom just ended up as friends. There really wasn’t much room to operate in this round, let’s just wait and see. There’s no real secret in the face of a trend—just admit defeat and move on. It’s always about the Fed or unemployment benefits, but in the end, it all comes down to volume.
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ColdWalletGuardianvip
· 14h ago
If that 137 line really breaks, I'll liquidate my entire position.
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YieldHuntervip
· 14h ago
ngl the MACD divergence caught my eye too, but technically speaking if you actually look at the correlation coefficient between unemployment data and sol price action, it's way messier than people think. degens still gonna degen tho
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Blockblindvip
· 14h ago
Another big SOL bear, but this time what they said does make sense. Downtrend channel + death cross, I see the problem too. You really have to watch that 137 line—if it breaks, you definitely have to stop out, can't afford to drag this out.
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quietly_stakingvip
· 14h ago
Damn, it's the same old story again. Every time they say the death cross is about to start, then there's a rebound and they get slapped in the face. Wait, the 137-day line? Where did this data come from? It sounds so specific. Seriously, trying to catch the bottom is deadly. I don't do that anymore. SOL just keeps shaking out weak hands over and over, not worth betting on. Should've gone all cash earlier. It's too late to regret now. Instead of looking at charts, might as well just lie flat. My mindset would be much better. A downtrend channel is a downtrend channel. Time will give us the answer. This analysis sounds right, but no one really knows when the bottom is.
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