Friends who have been watching the market lately must have noticed that the betting data on Polymarket regarding the Fed's action in December is quite interesting—the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has soared to 93%, while the odds of holding steady are down to just 8%.



Honestly, if this expectation comes true, it would definitely be a positive signal for liquidity across the entire crypto market. $ETH At this point, do you guys think there's a chance we could ride this wave of macro expectations and push for 3500? Personally, I think if the technicals line up with the fundamentals, it's not out of the question, but the key is whether Bitcoin can stabilize first.

What do you guys think about the impact of this Fed rate cut expectation on the crypto market?
ETH-4.35%
BTC-3.43%
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LayerZeroHerovip
· 16h ago
93%—that probability is a bit scary. It feels like the market has completely priced in a rate cut, but what if something unexpected happens? ETH to $3,500? Is that just wishful thinking or for real? I guess it depends on how BTC performs. Liquidity is definitely a positive factor, but I’m not sure how long this rebound can last.
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AirdropHermitvip
· 17h ago
93%? That number seems a bit iffy. I think we need to take it with a grain of salt—those guys on Polymarket aren't necessarily reliable either. ETH shooting for 3500 sounds good, but I'm still waiting for Bitcoin to give a signal first. Jumping in now feels a bit like gambling on luck. If rate cuts actually happen, liquidity will definitely get a boost, but don't put all your hopes on that. There have been plenty of times in history when expectations reversed suddenly. This time, the key is whether the Fed actually follows through as expected. If they turn dovish, things could get pretty wild.
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