2025-12-05 08:20:43

#美联储重启降息步伐 Market sentiment has been a bit subtle these past couple of days. The probability of the Fed making a move this month has been pushed to 87% by traders—the numbers are right there—but US stocks have remained surprisingly calm. The real activity is within the tech sector—Nvidia is making continuous moves in AI, while Micron’s transformation pace has caused some noise in the supply chain.

Recent employment data has sent mixed signals, but the signs of cooling are already clear enough, which conveniently leaves room for a policy shift. BlackRock has explicitly stated: a rate cut this month is a done deal, and there could be further moves in 2026.

For the crypto market, changes in liquidity expectations have always been a sensitive trigger. $BTC $ETH What happens next may depend on closely following this macro trend.

BTC-2.83%

ETH-4.31%

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MemeCoinSavant

· 13h ago

ngl the 87% probability thing is just cope until we see actual rate cuts... fed's always playing chicken with the market lmao

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SoliditySlayer

· 19h ago

Who can be fooled by that 87% figure? The US stock market is reacting like nothing happened—totally absurd. The rate cut is about to land, but what I care more about is whether Nvidia or Micron will have the last laugh. Once liquidity shifts, crypto prices have to swing along with it. Now it all depends on whether the Fed will actually make a move. BlackRock says it’s a done deal, so let’s wait and see—anyway, there’s still a chance in 2026. Nvidia keeps soaring, but Micron is really underperforming. The whole supply chain is a mess. BTC has to closely follow macro trends. As soon as rate cut expectations hit, liquidity comes alive. This move is definitely worth watching.

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BlockchainTalker

· 19h ago

actually, the liquidity narrative here is where it gets spicy—fed pivot doesn't automatically mean pump, we've seen this movie before tbh

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ZenZKPlayer

· 19h ago

87% sounds pretty intimidating, but it's really bizarre how calm the US stock market is—feels like everything is just waiting to react after the rate cut actually happens. Nvidia keeps flexing its muscles, while Micron is still adjusting. The supply chain situation really is a bit murky. The key thing is to see where liquidity goes. $BTC and $ETH will probably end up dancing to the macro rhythm again. As for the rate cut, instead of guessing, it's better to wait for confirmation. Even BlackRock says it's basically set, so let's just accept it. What's the market playing at? With an 87% probability, yet there isn't even a ripple—this is the most intriguing part.

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GasGuzzler

· 19h ago

87% is already obvious, but we still have to pretend not to understand? What about the promised rate cuts? --- Nvidia is having fun, Micron is getting beaten up, this chip drama just never ends. --- As soon as liquidity loosens, crypto comes alive. You really have to keep a close eye on this macro trend. --- Even BlackRock says it's nailed down, but the market is still pretending to stay calm—what's going on? --- There's just noise all over the supply chain right now; it's still uncertain who's actually making money. --- Employment data falls short, so the policy has to shift—simple logic. --- BTC and ETH are now all about how the Fed is going to play its hand. --- Subtle? Basically, the traders are betting on whether the Fed will backtrack or not. --- Is there more coming in 2026? That’s hinting there will be more than one rate cut. --- Infighting in the tech sector—that’s the real hotspot.

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WalletDetective

· 19h ago

87% probability sounds nice, but why is the US stock market still so calm? Feels a bit like putting on a show. --- Look at Nvidia and Micron—one’s soaring, one’s tanking. The chip supply chain is really fragile. --- BlackRock is so convinced the rate cut will happen this month—do they really see through it all, or are they just bluffing traders? --- Rate cuts are coming and liquidity is loosening, $BTC should have a feast. I’m bullish on this wave. --- Micron’s transformation is dragging down the whole chain—this is the real risk point, not some macro narrative. --- Contradictory employment data + rate cut expectations + AI hype... should BTC go up or is it better to wait? It’s kind of a mess. --- Will they keep cutting rates into 2026? This pace really means a big liquidity wave is coming.

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