#数字货币市场洞察 Recently, there have been two noteworthy signals in the ETH market that may indicate a key turning point for short-term trends.

On-chain data shows that an address dormant for nearly two years suddenly withdrew 1,320 ETH from the Kraken exchange. Although the amount itself is not huge, the actions of such long-term holders often signal optimism about the market outlook—after all, early participants may have a cost basis of just a few hundred dollars, and choosing to withdraw to self-custody now suggests positive price expectations. The movements of this type of "smart money" have always been closely watched by the market.

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart's MACD has formed a golden cross, which theoretically points to the resistance area near $3,270. However, there's an issue: while the price is rising, trading volume is shrinking. This volume-price divergence usually indicates a lack of upward momentum, and a short-term pullback may be needed to confirm the validity of support.

In my opinion, the probability of breaking directly above $3,270 tonight is low. A more likely scenario is a pullback to test key support near $3,170, and it’s possible to even dip into the $3,065-$3,100 zone to find stronger support. Such a pullback is not a bad thing; in fact, it means major players are building momentum.

In terms of strategy, it’s recommended to scale in gradually rather than chase highs: aggressive traders can watch for stabilization signals in the $3,170-$3,190 range and build positions step by step; conservative investors can wait for the strong support area at $3,065-$3,100 before considering heavy entry. The core principle is never to go all-in at once—entering in three batches is the smart way to control risk. The market will always reward those who are patient.