There are three key events in December that will shake up the market. Let’s talk about the first one.
On December 11, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Previously, the market speculated that there would be no rate cut in December, but now the sentiment has changed—the probability of a rate cut has surged to 87%.
What does this data mean? For the next three weeks, the trends of BTC and ETH will basically revolve around these time points. Market sentiment has already started to react in advance, and everyone is closely watching the Fed’s stance. I’ll continue to follow up on the other two events as well.
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WhaleWatcher
· 19h ago
87% probability? If the Fed really cuts rates this time, I'm going all in.
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GateUser-44a00d6c
· 19h ago
87% probability? Can this probability be trusted? They said the same thing last time...
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BrokenDAO
· 19h ago
An 87% probability of a rate cut basically means the market is betting that the Fed will change its stance. But this kind of game where pricing happens in advance is often the moment when it's easiest to get cut. Just look at how many people have been hit by the opposite move because of “certain” expectations before.
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RetailTherapist
· 19h ago
87% probability? Nonsense, there will be another reversal when the time comes.
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RugResistant
· 19h ago
analyzed the 87% probability claim thoroughly - where exactly is this data coming from? needs immediate verification before anyone treats this as gospel tbh. fed decisions always move markets but anchoring on single metrics like this is a common attack vector for overconfidence
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GigaBrainAnon
· 19h ago
87%—this probability is a bit ridiculous. Can it really go down this time?
There are three key events in December that will shake up the market. Let’s talk about the first one.
On December 11, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Previously, the market speculated that there would be no rate cut in December, but now the sentiment has changed—the probability of a rate cut has surged to 87%.
What does this data mean? For the next three weeks, the trends of BTC and ETH will basically revolve around these time points. Market sentiment has already started to react in advance, and everyone is closely watching the Fed’s stance. I’ll continue to follow up on the other two events as well.