⭐Bitcoin Market Analysis Report (BTC) - Date 16/11/2025

1. Market Situation Summary
As of the morning of November 16, 2025, the Bitcoin market is undergoing a deep price correction and panic sentiment is increasing.
* Current price: BTC is trading around the range of $95,100 - $96,000.
* Main event: The price has broken through the important psychological support level of $100,000 in the past 24-48 hours, leading to a strong sell-off.
* Market sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index ( has dropped to "Extreme Fear" ), with indicators recorded at 11-16 points. This is the lowest level of fear recorded in the past year.
2. Technical Analysis (TA)
The short-term and medium-term trend of BTC is currently leaning towards the bears (Bearish).
* Main trend: On the Daily timeframe (1D) and 4-hour (4H), the downtrend (downtrend) is very evident. Prices continuously create lower highs and lower lows (lower highs and lower lows).
* Trading volume: The trading volume has surged during the downturns, indicating that selling pressure is dominant and confirmed.
Support Levels (Support) Important:
* Short-term support (Key zone): $94,000 - $95,000
* This is the price range that the buyers are trying to defend. If this range is decisively broken, the downward momentum may continue strongly.
* Next support: $93,600
* This is the nearest technical support level if $94,000 is breached.
* Deeper support: $84,000 - $86,000
* Many analysts are warning about the possibility that the price could slip back to this range if negative sentiment continues and the $94,000 mark is not held.
Resistance Levels (Important Resistance ):
* Short-term resistance: $97,000 - $98,000
* This is the first barrier if BTC has a technical rebound.
* Psychological resistance: $100,000
* The strong support zone has now become a very important psychological and technical resistance zone.
* Confirmed reversal resistance: $105,000 - $105,500
* The bulls ( can only regain strength if the closing price stays solid above this level.
3. Macroeconomic Analysis & Psychology )FA & Sentiment(
External factors are contributing to this price drop:
* ETF net outflows: One of the main catalysts for the price drop is the information regarding significant outflows recorded by the )Spot ETF( of Bitcoin ETFs. This indicates that institutional investors are temporarily reducing their risk.
* FED's uncertainty: Although the Federal Reserve )Fed( recently lowered interest rates, officials are still "divided" on the possibility of another cut in December. This uncertainty makes risk markets like crypto cautious.
* "Information gap" in the United States: The U.S. government shutdown in October has suspended important reports such as CPI, labor data. This creates an "information gap," making it difficult for investors to assess the direction of the economy and monetary policy.
4. Upcoming Scenarios and Trends
Based on the data above, I outline 3 possible scenarios:
* Discount Scenario )Bearish - High Probability(:
* This is the scenario with the highest likelihood of occurring in the short term. BTC failed to hold the $94,000 mark. Panic selling )panic sell( continues, pushing the price to test the $84,000 - $86,000 range.
* Accumulation Scenario )Sideways - Average Probability(:
* The price has maintained the support range of $94,000 - $95,000. The market needs time to "absorb" the selling pressure and bad news. BTC will trade sideways in a narrow range of $94,000 - $98,000 in the coming days to seek stability.
* Bullish Scenario ) - Low Probability (:
* A very good macro news appears ), for example: the FED announces a rate cut, and ETF capital flows back strongly (. The price must break strongly through the resistance zone of $100,000 and close above $105,000 to invalidate the current downtrend. This scenario is currently difficult to happen immediately.
Conclusion: The market is undergoing a strong correction after failing to break through previous highs. The bears are currently clearly in control. The support zone of $94,000 - $95,000 is the most important checkpoint to monitor in the next 24 hours.
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