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Recently, someone asked me how to turn around with a small amount of funds in the crypto world. To be honest, there are no secrets, but I can share some hard-earned experience from three years.
**First, let's talk about the short-term aspect, a few hard rules:**
Just focus on the top ten mainstream coins by market capitalization, don't chase after altcoins randomly. Look at basic indicators like the daily MACD golden cross and the Bollinger Bands' contraction, and combine them with news to pick those with large volatility.
Position management is crucial - divide 50,000 into 5 parts, only move 1 part at a time, which is 20%. Remember, never go all in, at most half, and keep the other half for opportunities. You can do a maximum of 3 trades a day, even if you're eager, you have to hold back.
Entering the market and losing 30%? Don't hesitate, withdraw immediately. This indicates that the timing was wrong; holding on will only lead to a worse outcome. Set a 30% stop-loss line; if it breaks, liquidate without conditions. Don't fall in love with candlestick charts; quick in and out is the way to go.
Go with the flow, only deal with the mainstream, and don't touch the altcoins.
**Let's talk about the market rules that have been figured out over the years:**
Don't panic about the morning crash; there will likely be a rebound in the afternoon. Remember to reduce your positions if there is a big rise in the afternoon, as there is a good chance of a pullback in the evening. A rise on low volume will still rise, and a fall on low volume will still fall—this is an old rule.
Major meetings or positive news tend to lead to price increases, but once they materialize, prices usually fall; this is a classic pattern. If there is a continuous drop during the day in the domestic market, it may be worth considering bottom-fishing, as prices often rally when foreign investors step in at around 9:30 PM.
Buy and sell signals depend on the pin bars; the deeper the pin bar, the clearer the signal.
**Finally, let's talk about a few heart-wrenching phenomena:**
When heavily invested, it's easiest to get liquidated—because you're already on the exchange's watchlist. As soon as the short position stops out, it drops; how could it possibly drop without throwing you off the train? Remember that time with TRB?
Just when it seemed like you were about to break even, the rebound suddenly stopped. How could they let you escape easily? The moment you take profit, it shoots up. If they don’t let you get off, how can it push higher? The car is too heavy.
When you are most excited, the crash arrives as expected, and your excitement itself is a trap set by the big players. When you have no money, every coin seems to be rising, making you FOMO and rush to enter the market.
In simple terms, over 80% of the market is manipulated. Therefore, you must control your position and act proactively. If you cannot see the intentions of the market makers, do not enter the market decisively. Once you enter, you become the fish on the chopping board, with the knife in someone else's hands.