Because investors are hopeful that the war, which has shaken global markets and disrupted energy supplies, may be nearing an end, the three major US stock indexes surged sharply. As risk sentiment improved, the cryptocurrency market rallied across the board. Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded from 66K to above 68K, and Ether (ETH) bounced back to around $2,100.
Is Iran finally signaling an end to the fighting?
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian made his first public remarks, stating that the Islamic Republic of Iran has the “necessary will” to end the war, but only if it receives guarantees that “aggression will not happen again.”
US President Trump said that the United States plans to withdraw from Iran within two to three weeks, and the Strait of Hormuz will “automatically open.”
The five-week conflict caused widespread infrastructure damage. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz cut off energy supplies, causing oil prices to soar, and also raised concerns about escalating inflation and slowing economic growth.
US economic data showed that, with slightly more optimistic views on business and labor market conditions, consumer confidence unexpectedly increased in March. Job openings decreased in February, and hiring slowed, indicating that labor demand before the war was relatively weak.
The three major US stock indexes all rose, but analysts warn against being overly optimistic too soon.
On Tuesday, all three major US stock indexes surged significantly. However, looking at March’s performance, the S&P 500 index still declined by 5.1%, marking its worst monthly performance since 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 5.4%, ending its previous 10-month streak of gains. The Nasdaq index dropped by 4.8%. The Nasdaq remains over 10% below its recent intraday high. The Dow and S&P 500 are down more than 8% and 6%, respectively, from their recent peaks.
Bloomberg analyst Brendan Fagan stated:
“On Tuesday, Iran released signals indicating willingness to end hostilities, which sparked optimism. But it now appears to be premature. Much depends on how Tehran defines the ‘core guarantees’—especially if these guarantees align with the conditions outlined in Iran’s response to Washington’s ceasefire proposal. For Washington, these conditions may be a very high threshold.”
Bitcoin rebounded to 68K, and market sentiment slightly improved
As risk sentiment improved, the cryptocurrency market rallied across the board. Bitcoin rebounded from 66K to above 68K, and Ether bounced back to around $2,100. The Fear & Greed Index slightly increased to 30, and the altcoin season index also rose to 51. Within 24 hours, $325 million worth of positions were liquidated, with short positions comprising the majority.
This article, “Is the Iran war expected to end? US stock indexes rise across the board, and Bitcoin rebounds to 68K,” was first published on Chain News ABMedia.
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