Gate News message: On March 30, the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that he is inclined to ignore supply shocks, but must pay attention to inflation expectations.
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CryptoQuant Analyst: In March, the U.S. CPI month-over-month increase hit a record high; if the U.S.-Iran conflict continues or forces the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that although March CPI recorded the largest month-over-month increase, core CPI remained stable, indicating that U.S. inflation has not fully spread yet. Attention should be paid to upcoming PCE data. If the Iran-Iraq conflict continues, inflation could evolve into a systemic risk and affect economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue raising rates to respond.
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Hassett: The Strait of Hormuz could be opened within two months, and the Federal Reserve still has room to cut rates
Gate News message: On April 10, U.S. National Economic Council Director of the White House, Hassett, said the Strait of Hormuz could be reopened within two months. In addition, Hassett said the Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, and this outlook will be very solid.
GateNews04-10 13:25
Reuters: The market is pricing in expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026
Gate News, April 10, according to Reuters, the market continues to price in expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026.
GateNews04-10 13:06
CME Data: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%
Gate News message: On April 10, according to CME "FedWatch" data, before the CPI data is released, the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of cumulative rate cuts of 25 basis points is 1.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 1.7%.
GateNews04-10 12:31
Federal Reserve’s Daly: If the Iran conflict is resolved and oil prices fall, a rate cut “is not out of the question”
Gate News, on April 10, Daly, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said that if the Iran conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, a rate cut is “not impossible.” She also noted that the likelihood of a rate hike is lower than the likelihood of cutting rates or keeping interest rates unchanged.
GateNews04-10 12:06