CEO Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, announced on X that the company does not list direct payout betting markets based on death and has designed rules to prevent users from profiting from events related to mortality.
Regarding the “Supreme Leader Khamenei’s death” market, Kalshi stated it will refund all trading fees and close open positions at the last trading price before 1:14 a.m. EST — the time of the first attack.
For positions opened after his death, the platform will refund 100%. Mansour emphasized that no users incur losses in this market to ensure fairness and compliance with the platform’s operational principles.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Bitcoin drops toward $68,000 as demand weakens and whales sell
Bitcoin BTC$68,767.57 slid toward $68,000 on Tuesday, with traditional markets closed in Hong Kong for a long weekend, as repeated failures near $70,000 left the bitcoin market vulnerable to a break lower.
The drop came after another failed push above $70,000, with prices slipping quickly once
CoinDesk29m ago
Two major high-win-rate accounts bet on the U.S. seizing Iran’s “enriched uranium,” with the highest win rate reaching 81%
Recently, on prediction market platform Polymarket, two accounts collectively staked $5,900, betting that the odds of the “United States obtaining Iran’s highly enriched uranium before June” are 81%. These two accounts have strong historical performance in Iran-related categories and chose to enter when the valuation was undervalued. According to reports, the U.S. military has proposed a plan to deploy ground forces to seize highly enriched uranium, but it faces legal constraints.
MarketWhisper39m ago
Research: 84% of traders on Polymarket are currently losing money
Research by independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov shows that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket lose money, only 2% have profits over $1,000, and 0.033% reach $100k in profits. Of the 6,600 traders with monthly profits over $5,000, only 2.6% remain consistently active for more than a year. Most traders leave after trading for a while.
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket Major Upgrade: Phasing Out USDC.e, Launching Native Collateral Tokens
The prediction market platform Polymarket will undergo a full rebuild, launching a new collateral token, “Polymarket USD,” to replace the existing USDC.e, in order to enhance its control over the settlement layer and comply with regulatory requirements. The upgrade will affect users’ trading workflows: ordinary users can complete the conversion automatically, while advanced users must do it manually. This move is intended to strengthen management of market manipulation and to promote a shift toward compliance.
MarketWhisper3h ago
Polymarket will upgrade its trading system and launch its native stablecoin, Polymarket USD
Polymarket’s prediction market platform will undergo a major upgrade in the coming weeks, including the launch of the V2 trading system, the native stablecoin Polymarket USD, and an optimized order book structure. The new system will improve matching efficiency, reduce Gas costs, and support smart contract wallets to participate in trading.
GateNews3h ago
A profit of nearly $4 million account purchased $130k in Polymarket predictions for the favorite to beat the Nuggets.
On April 7, on-chain data shows that during Polymarket’s NBA Blazers vs. Nuggets match prediction, an account bought a prediction for a Blazers win for $130k, earning nearly $4 million in profit. The Blazers are ranked 9th in the West, and the Nuggets are 4th. The game will take place at 9:00 PM Beijing time today.
GateNews3h ago