XRP recently retested a crucial exponential moving average (EMA), reminiscent of its price behavior before the explosive surge in late 2017.
JD, a well-known market commentator, recently highlighted the latest occurrence amid the ongoing price downtrend. Specifically, after a slight recovery to $2.8 in September 2025, XRP collapsed alongside the broader market in October 2025, and this downward push has persisted into December.
XRP’s Historical Retest of the 21EMA
Importantly, whenever XRP retests the support at this moving average, the resulting move is an explosive rally to new heights. Data from JD’s chart shows that one of the first instances of this pattern emerged in December 2017.
Specifically, after the initial rally from $0.00555 in March 2017 to $0.3988 in May of that year, XRP entered a consolidation phase, dropping to $0.1977 by December 2017. Interestingly, this drop coincided with a retest of the 21 EMA support. What followed was another impressive upsurge, pushing XRP to the $3.31 peak in January 2018. This marked a 1,573% rise from the $0.1977 low.
XRP 1M Chart | JDNotably, this pattern also played out in the current market cycle. Amid XRP’s consolidation between $0.4 and $0.6 for most of 2024, the crypto asset eventually retested and slipped below the 21 EMA in October 2024. Shortly after this, XRP exploded on the back of the November 2024 U.S. elections, soaring to $3.4 by January 2025.
XRP Retests the 21EMA Again
However, the correction that followed has kept XRP in a bearish position for most of 2025, with occasional swings to prices such as $3.66 in July. Nonetheless, despite the bearish pressure throughout 2025, XRP remained above the 21-month EMA until the recent downtrend. With XRP now trading below $2, it has retested this crucial moving average.
From here, JD expects another explosive surge to greater heights and then a subsequent collapse, but he chose not to present any price predictions. For perspective, if XRP even replicated half of its December 2017 rise, it would surge 786% from the current price. Notably, this would result in a price of $16.5, representing a new all-time high. However, this remains highly speculative
XRP 3D Chart | Skipper
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