Hedera Price Analysis: HBAR ETF Demand Cools, May Test Key Support at $0.10

Recently, the Crypto Assets market has weakened overall, with Hedera (HBAR) prices under continuous pressure. Multiple Rebound attempts have failed to achieve effective breakthroughs, reflecting a clear cooling of market risk appetite. Against a backdrop of cautious funding, the downward pressure on HBAR has further intensified, and investor sentiment has shifted towards defense.

From the demand side, ETF data has become an important variable affecting market expectations. Previously, with the successful launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the market once expected that some mainstream altcoins, including Hedera, would also gain similar institutional allocation opportunities. Hedera, with its enterprise-grade application scenarios and relatively compliant network positioning, is seen as one of the potential beneficiaries.

However, the actual performance is clearly below expectations. Data shows that the HBAR ETF launched by Canary recorded zero capital inflow on December 22, less than two months after its listing. This result indicates that interest in allocating HBAR is quite limited, whether from crypto-native funds or traditional financial channels. The rapid cooling of ETF demand has led to the failure of institutional funding expectations, which were originally seen as important positive factors, and market sentiment has weakened accordingly.

Technical indicators also release bearish signals. The OBV (On-Balance Volume) indicator continues to decline, showing that the trading volume on down days is significantly higher than on up days, indicating that selling pressure is dominant. This “volume-price drop” structure often implies that the sell-off is not a short-term emotional fluctuation, but rather a more trend-oriented reduction in positions. Before new demand catalysts emerge, the rebound space for HBAR is significantly limited.

From the price structure, HBAR is currently trading at around $0.111, still constrained by the key resistance level of $0.120. The token has been declining for six consecutive weeks, and there has not yet been a clear reversal signal in the trend. If selling pressure continues to release, once the price breaks below the support level of $0.110, it may further drop to the range of $0.099–$0.10, thereby reinforcing the overall bearish pattern.

Of course, if the market environment stabilizes in phases, HBAR still has the possibility of consolidating sideways. As long as the price stays above 0.110 dollars, it cannot be ruled out that it will enter a phase of oscillation and digestion, thereby weakening the short-term downward momentum. However, before the inflow of ETF funds is lacking and trading volume has not seen significant improvement, Hedera's price trend still faces considerable uncertainty, and the vicinity of 0.10 dollars may become a key defense line that the market focuses on.