Research

According to Gate Research, the crypto market experienced a choppy recovery this week under shifting macro sentiment. As retail data weakened and several Fed officials delivered dovish signals, rate-cut expectations strengthened, with the probability of a December cut rising to 84.9%. Risk assets saw a moderate improvement in sentiment. After a continuous pullback, Bitcoin found strong buying interest near $80,000 and rebounded to around $88,000, lifting major altcoins as well. However, capital flows remain cautious, ETF inflows are limited, and the broader market still reflects a weak rebound structure.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin broke its stabilization trend and saw another high-volume decline; Ethereum fell below the key $3,000 support for the first time. The migration from ai16z to ELIZAOS has been completed on major exchanges, pushing ELIZAOS up 18.00%. Dusk announced partnerships with Chainlink and the Dutch securities exchange NPEX, driving DUSK up 19.25%. The current market pullback is largely driven by rotation among long-term holders. 1inch launched its new liquidity protocol, Aqua, addressing DeFi’s long-standing liquidity fragmentation. The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board purchased $80 million worth of MSTR, reinforcing the trend of “large institutions = stable inflows.”

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 19, the crypto market saw a mild rebound despite extreme fear in sentiment. BTC edged up 0.15% to 92,410 USDT, while ETH rose 0.29% to 3,109 USDT. Among top movers, Anoma (+50.92%) surged as its ARM virtual machine went live on Ethereum, driving discussions around intents and programmable privacy; Grass (+23.03%) gained momentum ahead of its first Token Holder Call and on the back of processing 100 million scientific papers for open-science datasets; Falcon Finance (+17.69%) rallied as USDf supply exceeded 2 billion dollars and the Perryverse NFTs were fully revealed. On-chain data shows Bitcoin whales and institutions are accumulating simultaneously, with the number of wallets holding over 1,000 BTC reaching a four-month high. Vitalik introduced the Kohaku privacy framework, advancing privacy as a first-class property on Ethereum. Meanwhile, Zama launched its fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) testnet v2, marking a major step toward its upcoming mainnet launch.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 14, after a period of volatile decline, BTC found short-term support near $98,000; ETH showed signs of a short-term rebound; GT stabilized with support around $10.9 and began to recover; while LUMINT became the market spotlight with a surge of over 670%. The first XRP spot ETF, launched by Canary Capital, began trading on Nasdaq; the Czech National Bank made its first-ever Bitcoin purchase, establishing a $1 million digital asset pilot portfolio; and Emory University doubled its Bitcoin holdings, investing $52 million to increase its stake in the Grayscale BTC ETF.

In October 2025, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization exhibited a “rise-then-fall” pattern, reflecting weak market confidence and a stabilizing trend. Driven by the “BTCFi” narrative, Starknet saw new highs in both capital inflows and on-chain activity, with TVL rising from $170 million at the end of September to $245 million. Prediction markets heated up, with Polymarket and Kalshi recording a combined monthly trading volume exceeding $7 billion. Privacy coins made a strong comeback, with ZEC surging more than 440% for the month and leading the rally. On the funding side, the Web3 sector completed 130 deals totaling $5.12 billion, up 28.43% month-over-month, with total capital raised jumping 104.8% — the second-highest level in nearly a year — with funds primarily flowing into DeFi ($2.15 billion) and core infrastructure.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 17, BTC remains in a short-term weak downward consolidation structure, with 92,976 USD forming a key short-term low and serving as the core defense for bulls. ETH is also in a short-term weak consolidation pattern but has shown a clear rebound signal after touching the 3,004 USD low. Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a historic third-highest weekly net outflow of 729 million USD. ZEC contract positions surpassed 1.5 billion USD, reaching a record high, with significant increases in privacy network trading activity. Meanwhile, Japan’s regulators plan to reclassify BTC, ETH, and other cryptocurrencies as financial products, potentially reducing tax rates to 20%.

In October, Bitcoin recorded its first monthly loss since 2018, with the overall cryptocurrency market significantly underperforming traditional risk assets. Despite this weakness, the top 30% of quantitative fund portfolios achieved an impressive annualized return of 35.4%, substantially outperforming Bitcoin. The Hedging Investment-USDT strategy stood out, delivering a positive 5% return even as Bitcoin declined more than 5.5% during the month. Overall drawdowns across quantitative funds remained minimal, with the USDT strategy’s maximum drawdown at just -0.01%. Looking ahead to November, macro liquidity conditions and policy expectations are expected to continue driving market direction, while the crypto market may remain in a “high-volatility, low-trend” consolidation phase.

Gate Research Weekly Report: Bitcoin has fluctuated between $100,300 and $107,500 over the past week, and its consolidation phase is expected to continue. Visa has launched a stablecoin payment pilot, enabling platforms to pay content creators and freelancers directly in USDC. VCI Global plans to invest $100 million to acquire the OOB token of Oobit, a crypto payments company backed by Tether. The number of Ethereum validators has fallen back to April 2024 levels, while the exit queue waiting time has reached a new high. Meanwhile, Solana’s active address count has dropped to 3.3 million, the lowest level in a year. The x402 Network facilitators have processed more than 18.82 million transactions, marking a 35-fold increase since May.

From October 28 to November 10, 2025, the crypto market continued its rotational pattern, with BTC and ETH rebounding to above $105,800 and $3,630, respectively. PoW and AI narratives became the core drivers of momentum. ORE surged 514%, while AIA and SOON rose 238% and 188%, attracting strong inflows into AI and emerging application sectors. Infrastructure and privacy-focused projects such as ICP, ZEC, and FIL also advanced, forming a “narrative + technology” dual-driven uptrend. Recently, projects in trending sectors like AI, Layer2, social points, and identity verification have successively launched airdrop campaigns — this report summarizes key participation methods to help users capture rebound opportunities and potential upside.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 7, BTC remained in a short-term weak consolidation pattern, trading narrowly around $101,500; ETH continued its downward trend, currently consolidating near $3,310. Meanwhile, yield-bearing stablecoins recorded their largest weekly outflow since the Luna collapse, totaling $1 billion. Gate launched a decentralized Web3 Launchpad, introducing a new fully on-chain token issuance model; and Google Finance announced plans to integrate prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, bridging traditional finance with Web3 data ecosystems.

This report highlights that as of October 2025, the global oracle sector’s Total Value Secured (TVS) has surpassed $102.1 billion, with a total market capitalization of $14.1 billion. The market remains dominated by Chainlink, while competition is shifting from technical scalability toward economic model sustainability and cross-chain capability. The report notes that oracle growth has entered a “multiplier effect” phase, with momentum shifting from DeFi-native demand to Real World Assets (RWA), which are emerging as the core driver of institutional adoption. Meanwhile, cross-chain communication (CCIP), prediction markets, and AI-integrated oracles are expected to shape the next growth curve. On the economic front, the sector is transitioning from a “pay-per-call” model to a “service staking” paradigm, signaling a return to fundamentals-based valuation logic. The report estimates LINK’s long-term fair value range at $26–35, with potential upside to $40–45 upon the implementation of the Smart Value Recovery (S

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 10, BTC stabilized around $103,000 before accelerating upward, reaching a short-term high of $106,683; ETH found support near $3,480 and initiated a new upward leg, hitting a short-term high of $3,658. ORE’s single-day revenue surpassed $1 million, with the V2 protocol igniting a Solana mining frenzy; x402 protocol’s ecosystem transaction volume plummeted 90% within half a month; Filecoin partnered with Avalanche to build a native cross-chain data bridge, accelerating the deployment of modular infrastructure.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin rebounded from the $100,000 support level, forming a bullish trendline around $104,000. Ethereum stabilized and bounced back from the $3,200 zone after experiencing a major liquidity shock. A centralized exchange listed the SEAM/USDT trading pair, expanding trading channels and driving SEAM up 74.17% within 24 hours. WLFI rose 18.75% in 24 hours, supported by an improving macro environment, political tailwinds, and technical momentum. The Ethereum Foundation launched the dAI team’s 2026 roadmap, reinforcing market focus on the AI+Web3 narrative. Meanwhile, the Senate approved a bill to end the government shutdown, potentially concluding the longest shutdown in history.

This report summarizes the Web3 funding landscape in October 2025. In October, a total of 130 deals were completed, with $5.12 billion raised, representing a 104.8% month-over-month surge, the second-highest level in the past year. Funding was primarily driven by strategic rounds, which accounted for over 70% of the total, fueled by the explosion of the prediction market Polymarket and the accelerated integration of CeFi and TradFi. By sector, DeFi led with $2.15 billion, reflecting concentrated capital flows toward innovative financial applications. In terms of funding structure, projects in the $3M–$10M range accounted for nearly one-third of rounds, while projects under $1M represented only 5.9%, marking a recent low. The report also highlights key funded projects, including Orochi Network, KapKap, Voyage, TBook, and Lava.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 12, the cryptocurrency market remained in a weak consolidation phase with overall sentiment staying subdued. BTC edged up 0.36% to 103,261 USDT, while ETH rose 0.87% to 3,448 USDT, with technical indicators showing signs of weakening downside momentum. Among trending tokens, Lisk (+52.65%) led the market on strong inflows driven by its EMpower Fund and emerging market expansion; Allora (+10.54%) gained traction as its mainnet launch and multi-chain deployment reignited interest in the AI + Web3 narrative; and Canton Network (+11.81%) stood out in the enterprise blockchain sector with its new “Cantonics” economic model and developer incentive program. Meanwhile, Gate Connect launched the first-ever Apple Pay crypto-off-ramp feature, advancing Web3 payment adoption. Additionally, whale wallets accumulated over 36,000 BTC in the past two weeks, helping support Bitcoin’s consolidation around the $100,000 level.