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There is no negation, nor is there any derogatory meaning~
De-mystification is a good description~
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The most superficial and ignorant idea people have is to measure a person's success, ability, and level by the amount of money they have. How shallow and ignorant is that~
Li Bai spent most of his life in poverty, and Du Fu died on a boat returning home. Tesla was impoverished for most of his life, his patents were stolen, and in his later years he lived in hotels, relying on credit.
Are those who accumulate wealth through connections, luck, or the red tides of the era truly capable? Or did they just happen to be in the right place at the right time? For example, xxx
Masters do not need to pro
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Will crude oil really break through $150 in the near future?!
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Many people think Duan Yongping is especially impressive~
I honestly don't think so~
Especially when he bought NVIDIA at this price, bought Tesla, and also bought Pop Mart~
Don't mythologize any individual~
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Today is April 7—the deadline for Trump's 48-hour final ultimatum ends today~
With the chess game now at this stage, three fronts are tightening at the same time:
Military front: On April 3, two U.S. aircraft were shot down within a single day—one F-15E over Iran, and one A-10 near the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s air defenses haven’t collapsed, and fighting is much harder than expected~
Diplomatic front: Trump threatened to bomb Iran’s power plants and bridges today; the United Nations responded directly: this would violate international law. The ultimatum has been repeatedly extended, and Saudi
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Tesla, it's time to say a few words—
Since the beginning of the year, it has been under continuous pressure. Many people are asking: Has it fallen enough?
This decline has long been scripted from a technical perspective; the only suspense is: How big will this adjustment be?
Currently, the variables stacking up are more complex than any single factor:
The systemic downside risk of the US stock indices has not been eliminated. As a high-beta asset, Tesla could drop 25% if the index falls 10%—
Sales data continue to fall short of expectations—
AI valuation bubbles are being squeezed, and Tesla’s
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More patience~
Waiting for more data to be announced~
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You can actually fill up with 95 octane gasoline for less than 8 yuan at private gas stations~
How can state-owned enterprises compare~
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President Trump will be speaking again in a moment~
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Comprehensive Risk Map~
January ██████░░░░ Medium Risk Hold Cash and Watch
February ███░░░░░░░ Low Risk ✅ Small Position Testing
March ████████░░ High Risk ⚠️ Illusion of Opportunity
April ███████░░░ Medium-High Risk Review and Adjust
May █████░░░░░ Medium Risk ✅ Light Position Participation
June ██████████ Very High Risk 🔴 Stay in Cash and Observe
July ██████████ Very High Risk 🔴 Full Exit
August ███████░░░ Medium-High Risk Start Research
September ██░░░░░░░░ Low Risk ✅ Focused Deployment
October ██░░░░░░░░ Low Risk ✅ Continue Increasing Positions
November
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If the Middle East conflict turns into a prolonged war, lasting six months or even over a year, the global economy will collapse~
This probability has already risen from zero initially~
#IranWar‌
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For the U.S. military with an absolute technological advantage (technology gap), night raids for island seizures are the best choice~
It's currently around noon Dubai time. In eight or nine hours, will there be any movement?
#IranWar‌
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Tips for passing the US visa interview:
Be confident and fluent in Chinese during the conversation~
Haha~
Don't rely on your CET-6, TOEFL, or IELTS speaking scores~
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The private credit market is starting to break down—
Blue Owl's technology credit fund OTIC received a 40.7% redemption request in the last quarter, up from only 15.4% the previous quarter. More than doubling, this is not market volatility; investors are collectively rushing for the exits—
But the door is only slightly open: Blue Owl, following industry practice, has capped redemptions at 5%—
41% of investors want to exit, only 5% can leave—
The remaining 36% are locked inside—
This is not an isolated case: Ares has an 11.6% redemption request, Apollo 11.2%, and Blackstone's HPS is a
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Look at the current oil prices~
I really don't understand why some people were bearish on crude oil through technical analysis a while ago~
#IranWar‌ #Crude Oil
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What signals are these?~
$600 million worth of OpenAI shares, searching for buyers—no deals made~
The same amount last year was snapped up within days~
This comparison clearly shows that: AI money is cooling off~
It’s not that OpenAI has a problem.
It’s that smart money is starting to do the math—
Spending hundreds of millions of dollars to buy shares in a company that can’t go public, can’t exit, and is priced based on "believing in the future," in 2026 when interest rates are still high and the market is beginning to shake, the risk-reward ratio of this deal has quietly flipped~
What were th
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AI and crypto company Genius Group disclosed on Tuesday that they liquidated all their BTC holdings in Q1 to pay off debts. It’s not a strategic rebalancing, not taking profits and exiting, but rather a tightening of the funding chain—selling the most liquid assets possible.
In a bull market, everyone is a “long-term holder.”
When the creditors come knocking, faith has a price.
The signal behind this:
As the interest rate hike cycle prolongs and financing costs remain high, those “crypto + AI” companies supported by low-interest environments are seeing their balance sheets start to cra
BTC-1,19%
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Iran announces: Ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz must settle in cryptocurrency or RMB~
On the surface, it's a fee announcement, but in essence, it's a bullet shot at the oil dollar system~
The logic of the petrodollar has not changed since 1974: to buy oil globally, you must first buy dollars. This rule allows the U.S. to print money infinitely and borrow endlessly because the whole world is helping it absorb liquidity~
Now, this premise is being openly challenged by a country holding a strategic choke point for the first time~
The bigger issue isn't Iran, but those following along—
BTC-1,19%
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The Strait of Hormuz, the global supermarket begins to raise prices—
It's not just oil prices going up~
Many people haven't realized the importance of this strait: 20%–25% of global shipping of oil and about 33% of fertilizer shipments pass through Hormuz.
What does a fertilizer supply cutoff mean?
It means that what is planted this year may yield less next year~
The supply chain has already started to activate, and every link is increasing prices:
Oil prices rise → Natural gas prices rise → Heating, electricity, and transportation costs all increase~
Fertilizer shortage → Agricultural costs s
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