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GateUser-13faf6d3

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36k~ net taker $ETH spot buys over the last 12 hours. Perhaps a buy the rumour type situation with FOMC tomorrow
ETH-0.53%
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LonelySageGuardingProsperity:
It can reach 2400 tonight, right?
For months $ETH spot order books usually flip green (bid/buy delta) after a dump and flip red after a pump, but this time they’ve stayed red (ask/sell delta) after the retrace. Why now?
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FYI: ETHDVOL = IV for ETH DVOL = IV for BTC
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Don’t think much has changed since the last $ETH BB post, except for lower timeframe BBs. Market is in a holding pattern until it gets a trigger 1H / 2H BB - low squeeze 6H / 12H / 1D / 2D / 3D / 4D BBs - extreme squeeze This is the tightest 1D BB has been since the 1st Jan
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$BTC and $ETH have reached January 2026 IV (implied volatility) lows IV is the market’s pricing of expected future volatility, pulled from options premiums. It doesn’t tell you direction, just how much movement the market expects. High IV usually means options are expensive
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$ETH PA kinda similar to May-June 2025
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$ETH’s been ranging for nearly 3 months (87 days) btw
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$ETH 6H / 12H / 1D / 3D BBs continue squeezing to extreme levels We should see some expansion soon
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$ETH 4H range
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$BTC 4H FVG filled
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IV (implied volatility) is the market pricing in expected movement. High IV = expensive premiums Low IV = cheaper premiums It does not tell you direction. Only how big a move the market is pricing. A common mistake is being right on direction but overpaying when IV is
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$BTC futures and spot order books are in sell delta and have been for some time Coinbase premium back to negative Futures and spot CVDs both in decline Funding negative but neutral OI increased a little but not aggressively
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$ETH spot order books flipped to sell delta with the NY session dump. Usually we see it flip to buy delta on price discounts Futures CVD dropping, OI rising, funding negative = shorts opened/added ~73k net taker ETH spot sells from the top of the dump
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203 days since $BTC hit ATH 246 days since $ETH hit ATH
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$BTC 12H BB looks like an actual turd
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$ETH 6H / 12H BBs still compressing
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$ETH 37k~ net taker spot sells from the top of this dump…
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$BTC and $ETH CME gaps filled
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$ETH 28k~ net taker spot buys with the leg up but 7k~ net taker sells from the top Order books are in sell delta More shorts added in the last 30mins Funding negative
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$ETH 6H BB has compressed to an extreme squeeze after the daily print
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