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The US stock market is closed on weekends, so liquidity is low, and market sentiment is generally lukewarm. The focus over the weekend should be on the negotiations between the US and Iran in Pakistan. Currently, the Strait of Hormuz remains the biggest point of concern. A ceasefire in Lebanon might still be necessary, but Iran remains very firm on this issue. At present, there are no signs that the Strait of Hormuz has fully reopened, but WTI has already started to decline on Friday. Market expectations for these negotiations are still quite positive.
Based on current BTC data, this is how the weekend looks, and BTC prices are still slightly rising. This indicates that investors have a fairly high expectation of a ceasefire. If a complete ceasefire occurs, prices could spike again. However, the focus will likely shift back to monetary policy, which will be the real challenge ahead.
Liquidity is very low over the weekend, and trading volume is poor. But the more this happens, the more it shows that genuine holders are not interested in selling BTC. Short-term investors are also expecting the ceasefire to continue rising and are holding a wait-and-see attitude.