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Just caught Ray Dalio's take on the All-In Podcast where he basically said bitcoin shouldn't even be compared to gold. His argument: bitcoin has no central bank backing, lacks privacy, and faces quantum computing risks. Meanwhile, he keeps saying 'there is only one gold' since it's the most established reserve currency held by central banks.
Here's where it gets interesting though. On the same day he made those comments, gold actually dropped harder than bitcoin did. Gold fell about 3% while bitcoin only slipped less than 1%. So much for gold being the ultimate safe haven, right?
The thing is, this disconnect between the two assets has been building for months. Bitcoin and gold moved together through early October, but then diverged sharply after the broader crypto crash. Gold rallied hard and is up around 30% over that period, while bitcoin got hit way worse, down over 45% from its peak. Neither asset has really acted like a proper safe haven during the recent geopolitical tensions either—both have been pretty volatile.
What's kind of amusing is that Dalio's specific criticisms aren't even new. He keeps bringing up bitcoin's transparency issue, saying transactions can be monitored and potentially controlled. He doubts central banks would ever accumulate something running on a public ledger. And yeah, quantum computing is a real long-term concern he raises.
But here's the thing—he's not completely anti-bitcoin. Dalio actually holds about 1% of his portfolio in bitcoin for diversification purposes. Plus, he previously recommended a 15% combined allocation to bitcoin or gold, calling it the best risk-return ratio given America's debt situation. He's also warned that the U.S.-led world order has broken down and investors need to rethink wealth protection strategies.
So the market is basically asking: is gold still the only answer? This week's price action isn't exactly making his case stronger. When you look at current bitcoin prices hovering around $72K, the narrative around which asset actually protects wealth in a crisis becomes way more complicated than just picking one. The real debate now is whether diversification between these assets makes more sense than betting everything on gold.