⚠️FACES ARE BLOCKED!!

The first round of the historic peace talks between the US and Iran is expected to begin today, that is, on Friday, April 10, 2026, in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan.
The talks represent the most critical phase of the two-week ceasefire process reached to halt the US-Israel-Iran war that began at the end of February. The US side is represented by Vice President JD Vance, while the Iranian delegation is led by Parliament Speaker Muhammad Bakir Kalibaf.
The impact of this critical meeting on the markets has already started to be felt, and depending on the course of the process, the following effects are expected to continue:
1. Energy Markets and Oil
Price Drop: The ceasefire news and expectations of Islamabad talks caused a sharp pullback in oil prices. Brent crude fell over 13%, dropping below $100.
Strait of Hormuz Factor: The possibility of Iran lifting the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues to pressure prices as it reduces global supply concerns. However, if no agreement is reached, there is a risk of oil quickly returning to $110 levels.
2. Global Stock Markets
Wall Street and Indices: The possibility of ending the war brought significant relief to markets. The S&P 500 index rose about 2.5%, and the Dow Jones about 2.9%, marking some of the best daily performances in the past year.
Aviation and Tourism: Strong buying is observed in airline and travel company stocks, expecting a decrease in rising energy costs.
3. Gold and Safe Havens
Upward Trend: Interestingly, despite the ceasefire news, gold prices continued to rise, reaching $4,812 per ounce. This indicates that investors are still cautious about geopolitical uncertainties and are trying to protect their portfolios.
4. Cryptocurrencies and Bonds
Bitcoin and Risk Appetite: With increased risk appetite, Bitcoin rose about 3%, surpassing $71,000.
Bond Yields: US 10-year bond yields decreased from 4.30% to 4.24% as war risk diminishes.
Summary: If the talks lead to a "permanent peace path," it could bring a festive atmosphere to the markets and significantly reduce inflationary pressures (energy sources). However, if negotiations stall or the ceasefire breaks down, a much sharper sell-off and oil shock could occur.
Do you think a permanent result will come from these talks, or are the parties just trying to buy time?
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