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Since the night, the overall trend of Bitcoin has not formed a smooth unilateral structure, but has been oscillating around a range, repeatedly pulling back. During the initial rally, the lower side was confirmed multiple times around 71,600 before gradually rising. Although there were pullbacks along the way, the downward extensions were insufficient, and the market's center of gravity moved upward slowly. The true emotional release appeared at high levels, with the market quickly surging above 73,000, but this upward move lacked effective turnover and continuation. After reaching a high, it did not stabilize effectively but quickly fell back repeatedly, bringing the price back to around 72,000 for oscillation. From a rhythm perspective, this upward phase was more of a short-term push, lacking structural support. After the high-level pullback, the market returned again to a range-bound state, indicating that the current market is still in a phase of repeated battles between bulls and bears, but the sustainability of the rise is clearly insufficient, and the rhythm is beginning to tilt toward the weaker side.
From the current market structure, on the 1-hour chart, the overall remains within a wide-range oscillation zone. This recent surge failed to effectively break through the upper boundary of the range, instead forming resistance at high levels. The structure has gradually shifted from a previously strong oscillation to a balanced oscillation. On the 4-hour chart, after a period of upward movement, the trend failed to continue higher and showed signs of stagnation at relatively high levels. The candlesticks display both upper shadows and pullbacks, indicating increasing selling pressure above and a structure leaning toward high-level consolidation. Combining shorter cycles, the current rhythm shows a gradual weakening of the rebound strength, with a smoother decline process. The market's center of gravity is slowly shifting downward. Under multi-timeframe resonance, the market is in a phase of pullback and consolidation after being blocked at the upper boundary of the range. Essentially, it remains in a consolidation phase, but in the short term, it is already showing weakness.
In this structural context, trading strategies need to be clear. Do not view the market as a continuation of strength, but rather follow the current weaker rhythm to participate. The focus should be on shorting opportunities, patiently waiting for clear signs of stagnation or weakening during rebounds before re-entering. Avoid frequent trading in the middle of the range; it is more important to follow the structure than to blindly seek specific points. #原油小幅上涨 $BTC