Practical Tips Summary – April to June Gameplay Sharing – Arbitrage Strategies – Locking Honey for Compound Interest – Daily Red Market is Key

Remember: on a price surge and volume spike, you smash the sell-off to lock in profits; observe during weak divergence; when divergence is strong, consider going deeper in the water; on a volume contraction pullback, dare to buy; on a big volume rally, be willing to sell—that’s the core technique validated by repeatedly feeding on meat.

To sum it up: in April’s kind of market where around 4,000 stocks rise and fall in mixed fashion, use convertible bonds to catch “instant explosions,” and use the ETFT0 strategy to pick up money. Even if the overall market drops, you can still turn your cost into a negative number through repeated T+0—this is the survival way of the real practitioners.

Just after the Qingming holiday, A-shares are about to enter the key turning-point period of Q2. From a hands-on, real-trading perspective, based on the current market environment, policy direction, and the upcoming earnings season, I’ll share how to dig for and repeatedly “eat honey.”

[Taoguba]
Part 1: Three major core “make-money” themes from April to June

The market logic is very clear: regulators are cracking down hard on short-term reckless speculation (the new rules took effect on April 7), so capital is forced to flow into “regular players” with performance and logic.

1. Hard-tech “earnings coming true”: AI computing and semiconductors
   Core logic: This isn’t about telling a story—it’s because there are real orders. On April 9, there’s a semiconductor expo in Shenzhen, and an AI computing conference is also underway. Along with the mapping effect from global giants like NVIDIA, this sector has the strongest institutional consensus.

Sub-points to watch:
Optical modules/CPO optical fiber: the hardest earnings. The logic doesn’t need to be said in detail. You’ve already heard it—I even shared it in a few hundred-word draft before. They’re prone to trend-type “weird moves,” and several of them have already shown up

Semiconductor equipment: domestic substitution is accelerating, especially equipment and materials related to advanced process technologies.

Expectation: capital digs in deeply. Even though volatility is high, the upside elasticity is also strong.

2. Inflation and the price-hike line: resources and chemicals
   Core logic: the global geopolitical situation (Middle East, etc.) pushes commodity prices up, and on top of that, domestic supply-side tightening means product price increases directly translate into profit surges. It’s not something that will end quickly; repeated fermentation means repeated intraday arbitrage—this is the prerequisite for digging business opportunities. Send money—just pick it up correctly!

Sub-points to watch:
Non-ferrous metals: copper, gold, aluminum—especially copper tied to demand for power equipment.

Chemical products: for example bromine, MDI, and others. As long as product prices rise, stocks can fly.

Expectation: this is cyclical-sector “stuff.” Follow futures prices—very trend-driven. Arbitrage—go pick up the money.

3. “Life-saving medicine” for oversold reversals: innovative drugs
   Core logic: it has dropped for three years, and valuations are on the floor. Add to that the U.S. tariff policy forcing domestic substitution, plus healthcare insurance negotiations becoming normalized—once the bad news is exhausted, what’s left is good news.

Sub-points to watch:
Innovative drug companies with overseas capability (the kind that can sell drugs to the U.S.), and CXO leaders.

Expectation: this theme is very strong for defensive counterattacks; it has a low position and high safety, making it suitable for medium-to-long-term “lay and wait” setups.

Part 2: How to dig for “good themes” in real trading

Don’t mess with those complicated formulas and martial-arts manuals. Filter by:

1. Look for “price hikes” (the simplest and most brutal)
   How to look: take a quick look at futures prices every morning, or check industry news. If something (like lithium carbonate, bromine, memory chips) has been rising continuously, and the news says “short supply,” then immediately go find the sector leader.

Logic: product price hikes -> company gross margin balloons -> stock price must rise. This is the hardest logic.

2. Look at the “calendar” (event-driven)
   How to look: check what major expos and big policy landings have happened in the last half month. For example, the semiconductor expo on April 9, and the commercial space launch on April 7. Remember: the positive on that day gets兑现, so you set up in tranches 2–3 days earlier.

Logic: big events happen -> media will report -> capital will pay attention -> the stock price will move. You should lurk 2–3 days before the event, and when the event day’s positive hits, leave right after the good news is兑现.

3. Look at the “earnings reports” (clear risks + hunt for treasure)
   How to look: April is a dense period for earnings releases. Focus on those with expected profit increases in the first quarter.

Practical trading tip: If a company’s stock is lying at the bottom and not moving, then suddenly it reports an expected profit increase of 50%+ for Q1, and the next day it opens high and rises—this is an “expectation gap.” Follow immediately.

Part 3: How to repeatedly “eat honey” in high-quality themes

Choosing the right stocks is only step one. Only by holding them firmly and executing well can you make real big money. For the April–June market, I’ll share two hands-on tips:

1. Position management method (advance when you can, retreat when you must)
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. In this choppy market, it’s like this:

50% position (offense): AI computing hardware—smooth performance, strong logic, or price-hike resource stocks. These are the wind directions; they rise fast.

30% position (defense and arbitrage): if tech stocks crash, this portion helps you hold up against drawdowns.

2. 20% flexible cash: always keep a little money. When the market drops hard, add. Or catch sudden hot spots for arbitrage and defense.

2. Lurk-and-兑现 rolling operation method (master the swing)
   Don’t stubbornly hold still. In today’s quant-driven capital environment, it’s fierce—you need to learn how to do T or swing trading:

Lurking period (buy where nobody’s paying attention):

When a great theme (for example, during the CPO and optical-fiber “buying-at-the-surge” phase while observing a strong divergence deep-water setup to find patterns) has a volume-contraction pullback because of a broader market adjustment, and it drops to the 5-day and 10-day moving-average support area, and the trading volume contracts to a very small level—then boldly accumulate at a low level. The prerequisite logic is strong performance and overseas orders

Holding period (let profits run):
As long as the stock price rises along the 5-day line, or volume and price are cooperating normally, don’t move. If it breaks, don’t look back immediately—lock in profits

Current period (sell when the crowd is roaring):
Selling point at the “surge with volume spike”: If one day the sector rises collectively and the screen is full of limit-ups, or there’s a major positive news release (like a launch happened), that’s usually a short-term top. Sell part decisively.

Stop-loss immediately when it breaks: if it falls below the 5-day life line, or if there’s an earnings blow-up, don’t hesitate—cut with the profits you have first.

Quick summary:
From April to June, don’t touch those junk small caps with no performance (after the new rules on April 7, this kind of stock has extremely high risk). Hold tight to the “technology” big leg (AI—software and hardware like CPO optical fiber/semiconductors), watch for “price-hike” opportunities (resources/chemicals), and set up “oversold” (innovative drugs) reversals to lie in wait.

Remember: when the surge and volume spike happen, you smash the sell-off and realize profits directly; observe during weak divergence; when divergence is strong, consider going deeper in the water; when volume contracts and it pulls back, dare to buy; when volume expands and it rips higher, be willing to sell—this is the core secret of repeatedly eating meat.

When individual stocks drop more than they rise, this kind of “electric fan” market (turning up then turning down) really makes people uncomfortable.

In a choppy market, holding stocks to the point of “dead holding” makes you ride a roller coaster. Using T+0 tools to do intraday arbitrage is what turns this kind of market into a “cash machine.” What do you think? I’ve shared it many times; some comrades feel happy

Arbitrage in convertible bonds and ETF T0 lets you sleep at night, and your account won’t be short of money—let’s share the way to play

Core logic: Why choose convertible bonds and ETF TO arbitrage?

Honey every day—handing you cash, so why not grab it

Convertible bonds: inherently T+0, no daily trading limit on up/down price movement (except for the first trading day after listing). They’re volatile and respond fast. They’re like a “guerrilla team”—suitable for quick entry and quick exit, catching instant explosions. Both big and small money can play, and there’s no psychological baggage.

ETF: most are T+1, but with so many news-driven moves and so many of these T0 ETFs, there’s an advantage—you can catch overall sector volatility, and the tolerance for mistakes is higher than with convertibles. Recently, the S&P oil, chemical leaders, innovative drugs (going up the wave), communications surges—once you catch it, you nail it. Hand out money—you don’t grab it?

Practical trading tip 1: How to play convertible bonds

The core of convertibles is “speed and decisiveness.” On fear days when 4,000 stocks are falling, convertibles often have a repair after an abrupt sell-off—this is the opportunity.

1. Keep a tight watch on the “golden time window”

9:21–9:29… once the underlying stock is limit-up, you can trade its corresponding convertible bond

9:30–10:00 (early session surge/kill-off): this is when sentiment is most intense. If the overall market suddenly drops, many convertibles get mis-hit. Don’t rush to cut. Instead, see whether there’s a “deep V” rebound opportunity.

14:30–15:00 (late close attack): many institutions reposition at this time. If it’s flat during the day and then at the end it suddenly releases volume to rally, you can follow to take a bite—but you must sell before 14:55. Absolutely don’t hold overnight.

2. How to pick “honey”?
Read the underlying stock’s face: the convertible bond you want to buy must have a strong underlying stock. For example, if you think today’s “innovative drug 16 limit-ups” are happening—if the underlying stocks are limit-up but the convertibles haven’t moved much, buy the convertibles immediately. That’s “following the rise to fill the lag.”

Look for “two lows”: find convertibles priced low (below 110 yuan) and with a low premium rate (within 10%). These convertibles don’t fall much; once the underlying stock moves even slightly, they can fly.

Look at trading volume: only play the top 10 convertibles by trading value. Don’t touch “zombie bonds” that nobody trades. If you buy them, you may not be able to sell. Even if you want T+0, you can’t T it out.

3. How do you “eat” it? (technique details)
Intraday moving-average method: open the intraday chart and there’s a yellow average-price line.

Buy point: price pulls back to the yellow line without breaking it, or buy when volume breaks through the yellow line.

Sell point: price moves far away from the yellow line (high deviation), or if it breaks below the yellow line, sell immediately.

Iron rule for stop-loss:
T+0 is to earn a little money like buying a few cups of Chinese noodles or fruit—using this mindset. It’s not like you’ll earn tens or hundreds of thousands with one shot. It’s still better than running delivery for 1 day and 13 hours to make 500–800. If losses exceed 1.5%, you must cut the position without thinking. Never turn T+0 into being shareholders—if you lose today and think “wait for tomorrow’s rebound,” that’s a big taboo!

Practical trading tip 2: ETF’s “quasi T+0” and bottom-position rolling, and even direct T0

ETF isn’t as crazy as convertibles—it’s steadier. In a choppy market like April, it’s suitable for operations that “reduce cost.”

There’s also T1 and T0. Target the core sector inside the market index to do its corresponding T+1, and T0 is fine—just give two examples. For example, that innovation rally to a surge just a couple days ago; then on that day the corresponding index for innovation had seven moves with gains above 7%. From the opening to the close, it kept pushing upward continuously. These are especially suitable for picking up money. If the rally is driven by bullish news from outside, then the corresponding index also reached around 8% that day. And the frequency of pulling up over the two-week period exceeds 90%. For the detailed logic, I won’t go into it here—just use these examples as a reference.

Coffee up, and let’s talk about trading

Survive first in the April choppy market, then eat meat while the candles are green

1. Practice mindset:
Don’t be greedy: T+0 is hard-earned money. Making 0.5%–1% in a day is already very impressive. Compounding is terrifying. Don’t believe it? Use a calculator: if you make 1% every day, in a year it becomes 10x.

Don’t drag it: you must liquidate before the close (unless you’re doing bottom-position rolling). Keep cash overnight—only the next day do you lose initiative.

2. Practical trading tips:
If there’s a sharp drop but not huge volume and there’s sector strength support, dare to buy. If there’s a sharp rise, be willing to sell (especially convertibles).

When the underlying stock hits limit-up but the convertible bond hasn’t moved, buy the convertible bond (that’s “handing you cash”).

If the overall market contracts volume, use ETFs safely—the probability of a limit-down is 0.
If the overall market expands volume, lock the first 10 convertibles.

3. How to avoid:
Never touch “tainted/妖” bonds. Those convertibles that jump 30% in a day and have premiums in the hundreds of percent are the hunting ground of insiders. Retail enters and becomes the bag-holder.

Be careful after 2:30 PM: if you didn’t make money all day, try not to open new positions after 2:30 PM to prevent being trapped by a late-day waterfall.

Investing involves risk; financial management requires caution. All the methods and tips above are purely my personal summary and not any investment or financial management advice.