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Trade Structure Analysis 04.06
I. Market Structure Overview
The current price is 21394H. The level has stabilized and rebounded from the previous low, forming a clear upward move. The previous downward structure has been broken, entering a bullish rebound phase; the 1H level is also strengthening, continuing the upward trend with no obvious top divergence; the 15F level is experiencing a strong rally, mainly characterized by small corrections without forming standard correction waves, indicating a strong upward movement within the same wave.
II. Multi-Timeframe Structure Judgment
4H: The previous decline wave has ended, the bottom pattern is confirmed, and a new upward wave is in progress, shifting the trend from bearish to bullish.
1H: Within an upward wave, bullish momentum has not exhausted, with no top divergence signals.
15F: Strong rebound structure, shallow corrections with strong momentum, no signs of stagnation or divergence yet.
III. Key Resistance and Support
Resistance: 2160–2170 (consolidation zone of previous highs)
Support: 2100–2110 (turning point of top and bottom)
IV. Future Trend Projection
Continued Strength: Further upward testing of the 2160–2170 resistance zone.
Normal Correction: Pull back to 2100–2110, stabilize, then choose direction.
Reversal to Weakness: Break below 2100 and fail to recover, ending the rebound and returning to a weak trend.
V. Trading Strategy and Discipline
Do not blindly short at this stage; contrarian short positions carry high risk.
Only consider shorting when 1H/15F show clear top divergence + resistance resonance.
Strictly enforce daily trading limits; cut losses on the same day if losses occur; avoid revenge trading.
Trade only structures you understand; avoid impulsive, trial-and-error, or high-frequency trading.
VI. Summary
The structure has shifted from a decline to a rebound and upward movement. Market strength and weakness have switched. Do not stubbornly remain bearish; respect the current trend and wait for high-probability opportunities before taking action.
These are purely personal opinions. Always respect the market and avoid impulsive trading.