2026-01-07 01:23:25

When the market is volatile, an interesting phenomenon is — the direction with the most people often presents an opportunity for contrarian trading. When there are many voices bullish in the market, consider shorting; when the bearish cries are loud, it might be the time for bulls to position themselves. It sounds like a "contrarian" trading theory, but the logic behind it is very realistic: the rules of the game in this market determine that only a few can make money. The data is clear — 20% of traders profit, 80% are losing. This is not a coincidence but the design of the market itself. When most people bet on the same direction, liquidity flows to the opposite side. That’s why smart traders often think in the opposite direction when there are many people involved.

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NFTDreamer

· 3h ago

That's right, but I still have to admit that I keep hovering on the edge of reverse operation... The times I actually make money are when I follow the trend.

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RooftopReserver

· 01-07 01:53

Basically, it's just the logic of cutting leeks wrapped in a nice package—20% profit, 80% loss... I'm also in that 80%.

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GasWaster

· 01-07 01:52

nah this is just cope for buying the top lmao... watched the crowd fomo in, then suddenly it's "smart contrarian thinking" when they get liquidated. honestly the real trade is tracking when gas spikes right before the rug pull—that's your actual signal, not whatever narrative ppl are pushing in discord.

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LiquidatedDreams

· 01-07 01:44

Sounds good, but I've seen too many cases of reverse operations leading to total loss. The 20% profit estimate might still be optimistic; now more new retail investors are entering the market.

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EntryPositionAnalyst

· 01-07 01:43

That's a good point, but I think the reverse operation also depends on the timing and shouldn't be blindly opposed. The data showing 20% profit and 80% loss is indeed sobering.

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BearMarketBuilder

· 01-07 01:37

80% loss, that data is really incredible. I'm just one of that 80%, haha.

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