2026-01-05 02:26:49

This week's market trend is primarily determined by two major factors—macroeconomic data and technological events.

First, let's talk about the macro side. The US December ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released on Monday evening, followed by the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change on Wednesday. However, the real key indicators are the Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate on Friday. These figures directly influence expectations of interest rate cuts, which in turn affect the sentiment of risk assets.

Next, let's look at the tech sector. The CES Consumer Electronics Show (commonly known as the Tech Spring Festival) kicks off on Tuesday, serving as a crucial window for sentiment shift. The performance of the tech sector determines whether the market is willing to tilt towards risk assets, and the correlation between the crypto market and tech stocks has always been strong. When tech heats up, crypto market sentiment tends to rise as well.

Therefore, the logic for this week is quite clear: data influences expectations of rate cuts, while tech events shape market sentiment and narrative direction. The combination of these two factors is the entire focus of this week's market movements. Don't miss out on Friday—the Non-Farm Payrolls data could very likely trigger significant volatility.

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BearHugger

· 22h ago

Friday's non-farm payrolls, I bet 5 bucks to directly crash the market

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GovernancePretender

· 01-06 21:14

Can't hold back on non-farm Friday, gotta keep a close watch. If the Tech Spring Festival Gala flops, the crypto circle will suffer too. The expectation of interest rate cuts really can decide everything, it's tough. Can CES's opening save the scene? We'll find out on Tuesday. Data speaks for itself; macro and tech are both gaining momentum. This week's suspense is quite high. Non-farm pre-night insomnia series.

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FarmToRiches

· 01-05 23:56

Will Friday's non-farm payroll data trigger a market move? It feels a bit fake.

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notSatoshi1971

· 01-05 02:56

Friday's major non-farm payrolls directly determine life or death, this wave is all smoke and mirrors --- Tech hot coins just keep rising, I've been playing this logic for three years and it's still the same old story --- NGL, my heart couldn't handle it the moment the data was released --- On CES day, it's either a breakthrough or a plunge, it all depends on how the tech folks want to play it --- Expectations of rate cuts are basically betting on the central bank's mood, lol --- See you on Friday for the real test, set your stop-loss in advance and don't regret it --- Every time, they say the tech sector influences the crypto market, but in the end? It's still about capital flow --- Macro + tech double kill, that's all, don't ask me how I know --- This week's market looks simple but is actually the most dangerous, full of traps --- Oh, stop bragging, the key is still how institutions move

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0xTherapist

· 01-05 02:55

The silence before non-farm payrolls, everyone stock up on bullets --- CES is coming, once the tech sector takes off, will the crypto circle really keep up? I remain skeptical --- If Friday's non-farm payrolls surprise us again, my stop-loss orders better be ready --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is basically a psychological game; when real data comes out, everything could be overturned --- The logic that the tech Spring Festival Gala opening will cause a price surge? I always feel it's the other way around --- The probability of a double kill this week is indeed quite high; macro and tech sectors are both stumbling --- Let's wait until Friday; anyway, these data points are just noise --- I bet CES will be a point where good news has been fully priced in; those who buy early should be cautious

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PoolJumper

· 01-05 02:53

Friday's non-farm payroll day, stay alert, it's really easy to get hit --- The tech Spring Festival Gala is coming, only then will the crypto circle have a show, this logic makes sense --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is uncertain, feels like we're about to get cut again --- If there are no surprises on CES day, we'll have to rely on the data --- Still the same saying, macro determines everything, everything else is just a foil --- From Monday to Friday, keep an eye on it, no big naps this week --- When tech rises, the crypto circle follows suit, this routine is played out --- The volatility of non-farm payroll data is real, managing stop-losses is the most important --- I'm a bit worried that Friday might break the level, everyone is waiting for this data --- CES is just an emotional stimulus, the key still depends on fundamentals

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StakeWhisperer

· 01-05 02:51

Non-farm payrolls day might directly skyrocket or plummet, gotta keep a close eye this week If CES is not impressive, the crypto circle will probably be disappointed again Data + sentiment double whammy, the real deal on Friday The expectation of interest rate cuts can change at any moment, no one can predict it accurately Tech sector moves, and the crypto market trembles along, a community of shared fate From Monday to Friday, it's all traps, I decide to wait and see over the weekend I don't know if this logic is clear, but I just can't understand it Non-farm payroll data is just a gamble, whoever can predict accurately will get rich I have to stay in the live stream for the CES opening ceremony, afraid of missing the opportunity Macro data is so annoying, might as well go all-in on tech stocks

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VCsSuckMyLiquidity

· 01-05 02:47

Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls will cause a bloodbath, hold tight to your stop-loss orders, buddy. --- Can CES rally this time? Honestly, it's a bit uncertain. The crypto market's ability to follow trends is truly exceptional. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is the real game-changer; everything else is just talk. --- Really, whenever the tech sector moves, the crypto market follows suit. It's quite serious. --- Once the PMI data comes out on Monday, you'll know the likely trend. Don't wait until Friday. --- I believe this logic, but the market still drops, which is quite absurd. --- What's so interesting about CES? It's all just hype.

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ZKSherlock

· 01-05 02:38

actually... people keep framing this as some simple causal chain, but ngl the trust assumptions here are pretty shaky. like, you're assuming the market interprets these data points consistently, which is... optimistic at best?

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