#Strategy加码BTC配置 January Market Trend Observation and Low-Long Strategy
These past couple of days, I’ve looked at the candlestick charts and want to share some thoughts.
**Current Support Levels** From the fifth to sixth rounds of volume expansion and bottoming out, BTC’s support around 86,500-87,000 and ETH’s support near 2,900 are now very solid. In simple terms, these two levels are unlikely to be broken easily in the short term. So, if you’re considering a medium- to long-term position, you might consider opening long positions at 89,100 and 88,500, with targets at 94,000 and 97,500. For ETH, entry points at 3,040 and 3,000 are also good, with targets at 3,200 and 3,400, and a small chance to hit 3,600.
**Technical Analysis** The daily and 4-hour MACD indicators have already formed a golden cross and stabilized. The previous resistance levels at 3,010 (ETH) and 89,000 (BTC) are now broken and holding. Both futures and spot markets show good funding conditions, indicating a high probability of an upward breakout today. But if the price does break down, don’t rush to cut losses; instead, consider re-entering around 87,000 and 2,900—this approach will be the main rhythm for the next 1-2 weeks, so avoid shorting.
**Key Levels to Watch** Once BTC stabilizes above 90,500 and ETH above 3,100, it will confirm the start of a bullish trend, with a high chance of a 10% or more increase. Those who are currently out of the market or haven’t entered yet can wait for the breakout and then buy on a pullback to 90,500 and 3,080.
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DEXRobinHood
· 4h ago
This line at 87,000 really hasn't been broken. I bet a month's salary it's the bottom.
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gas_guzzler
· 4h ago
It's another long position at a key level. It sounds like you're always telling a story.
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MEVSandwich
· 4h ago
Is there another buy-in around 87,000? Can we hold this wave?
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DaoResearcher
· 4h ago
According to the support and resistance theory in the white paper, your setting of the 86500-87000 support level indeed aligns with the equilibrium expectation of 5-6 volume expansions to the bottom. However, it is worth noting that the asymmetry in Token incentive mechanism design often leads to false prosperity in on-chain funds. Specifically, the MACD golden cross stabilizes only if the market microstructure remains coherent. Once the risk appetite of the governance layer suddenly changes, this framework will instantly fail. I suggest reviewing the several flash crash events in 2023, and you'll understand why I have a natural skepticism towards deterministic predictions like "1-2 weeks main trend."
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ProposalDetective
· 4h ago
Can this 87,000 line really hold? I feel like it's a bit uncertain.
#Strategy加码BTC配置 January Market Trend Observation and Low-Long Strategy
These past couple of days, I’ve looked at the candlestick charts and want to share some thoughts.
**Current Support Levels**
From the fifth to sixth rounds of volume expansion and bottoming out, BTC’s support around 86,500-87,000 and ETH’s support near 2,900 are now very solid. In simple terms, these two levels are unlikely to be broken easily in the short term. So, if you’re considering a medium- to long-term position, you might consider opening long positions at 89,100 and 88,500, with targets at 94,000 and 97,500. For ETH, entry points at 3,040 and 3,000 are also good, with targets at 3,200 and 3,400, and a small chance to hit 3,600.
**Technical Analysis**
The daily and 4-hour MACD indicators have already formed a golden cross and stabilized. The previous resistance levels at 3,010 (ETH) and 89,000 (BTC) are now broken and holding. Both futures and spot markets show good funding conditions, indicating a high probability of an upward breakout today. But if the price does break down, don’t rush to cut losses; instead, consider re-entering around 87,000 and 2,900—this approach will be the main rhythm for the next 1-2 weeks, so avoid shorting.
**Key Levels to Watch**
Once BTC stabilizes above 90,500 and ETH above 3,100, it will confirm the start of a bullish trend, with a high chance of a 10% or more increase. Those who are currently out of the market or haven’t entered yet can wait for the breakout and then buy on a pullback to 90,500 and 3,080.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
If there are any new developments in the market, I will continue to post updates and analysis.