I’ve paid my tuition in the crypto world for eight years, starting from 800 yuan to now 48 million. Honestly, there’s no special talent involved. Friends often laugh at my conservative approach, but what I want to say is—surviving in this market, stability is the key.

Many people misunderstand. Stability doesn’t mean cowardice; stability is the only way for ordinary retail investors to survive and come out alive in the market.

My underlying logic is simple: divide the capital into five parts, investing only one part at a time. What’s the benefit of this? Set a stop-loss at 10%, meaning I only lose 2% of total funds if I make a wrong move once. Even if I make five consecutive wrong moves, the entire account only loses 10%, far from a total wipeout. And if I get one right, I at least earn 10%. In the long run, this risk-reward ratio lays the foundation for profitability.

The core is two words: compound interest. And the foundation of compound interest is not losing big money.

Regarding timing, my iron rule is to follow the trend, not guess the bottom. The rebounds during a decline look promising, but they are often the biggest traps. Conversely, the corrections and pullbacks during an uptrend are the real opportunities to get in. Many people lose because they go against the trend, thinking they can see through the market. But trends are always smarter than you.

For coin selection, I avoid coins that have already surged dramatically. Why? Coins with short-term explosive growth often lack follow-through. When they consolidate sideways at high levels, it’s usually to trap more people. I don’t bet on them continuing to rise; I just avoid chasing high and risking my life.

On technical analysis, I trust MACD the most. This indicator is like a radar for my trading. How do I use it? When a bullish crossover occurs below the zero line and breaks above zero, it’s a buy signal; when a death cross appears above zero, it’s a signal to reduce positions. This simple logic helps me avoid many pitfalls.

For averaging down, my principle is: never add to a losing position. Many people misunderstand this the worst. Buying more as it falls deeper only makes the trap worse—that’s a common death trap for retail traders. The prerequisite for averaging down is—only add to profitable positions; stop-loss on losing positions must be executed promptly.

Volume-price relationship is the most honest indicator. A volume breakout at a low level often signals the start of a rally; but if volume surges at a high level and the price doesn’t move up, I prepare to retreat. Candlestick charts can be fancy, but trading volume is hard to fake.

I only trade in an uptrend. How to judge? The 3-day moving average trending upward indicates short-term opportunity; the 30-day moving average trending upward shows mid-term strength; the 84-day moving average upward often signals the start of a major rally; and the 120-day moving average upward reflects a long-term bull pattern. In a downtrend, don’t expect a reversal; such thoughts will only make you lose money.

I review every trade. Why buy? Why sell? Is the logic still valid now? Does the weekly chart support this direction? Asking yourself these questions turns each operation from pure luck into real skill.

From 800 yuan to 48 million, it looks like a miracle, but behind it is a set of disciplined actions. Staying calm, timing accurately, and strictly executing the plan—this is the right way for ordinary people to succeed in this market.

If you can do three of these, surviving won’t be a problem. Doing five, you can basically maintain profitability. If you can do all eight, you’re only one wave away from truly making big money. Don’t always see others as gods; in fact, they just learned earlier how to stay stable.