2025-12-30 19:28:39

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's probability of cutting interest rates next month has dropped to just 13%, according to recent market expectations data. This shift in monetary policy outlook is drawing significant attention from major market participants watching the Fed's next move. The tightening expectations are reshaping predictions for how long elevated rate levels might persist. With such a low likelihood of rate cuts materializing soon, market participants expecting different outcomes may face a recalibration of their economic assumptions in the near term.

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OnchainFortuneTeller

· 01-02 15:01

Hmm... once again delaying, Fed really doesn't want to loosen its stance this time.

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DaoResearcher

· 01-01 07:52

It is worth noting that, based on on-chain data and market expectations, the 13% probability has already fallen below the 95% confidence interval threshold I previously discussed in a governance proposal. Powell's recent actions are equivalent to rewriting the entire macroeconomic equilibrium solution.

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GrayscaleArbitrageur

· 2025-12-30 19:51

A 13% probability? So the Federal Reserve is determined to suck blood. We small retail investors still have to keep getting chopped up.

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NFTRegretDiary

· 2025-12-30 19:47

A 13% chance really isn't enough; now the bears should be crying.

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PensionDestroyer

· 2025-12-30 19:47

From this, it seems Powell is going to continue with a hard landing again? A 13% probability essentially means it's unlikely. Those dreaming of a rate cut should wake up.

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BlockchainTalker

· 2025-12-30 19:44

Actually, if we examine this through the lens of game theory... Powell just pulled the rug on the 13% rate cut narrative. market participants are basically speedrunning their portfolio recalibration rn. TL;DR for newcomers: fed's staying stubborn, your thesis probably needs a hard reset (Sources: CME FedWatch, market expectations data).

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RugResistant

· 2025-12-30 19:44

The expectation of interest rate hikes has been dashed again; a 13% probability is truly outrageous... How can anyone still be hoping for a rate cut?

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