#ETH走势分析 Ethereum is stuck at $3,019 (data as of 04:50 Beijing time). Remember that previous wave of moves? The main force pushed up to $3,200 and hit a wall. At that time, it was clear there wouldn’t be a hard push higher and a pullback was needed. Exited completely at $3,170—that turned out to be the stage top. Then bottomed out at $2,750. This back-and-forth combo was perfectly timed. Now, at the $3,000 mark, bulls and bears are locked in fierce battle.

Looking at the daily chart: today’s high reached $3,192, the low dropped to $2,978, breaking below the EMA15 trend line (which was at $3,036). Looking upward, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level coincides exactly with the EMA30, creating double resistance—a real pressure point. On the MACD, volume hasn’t picked up and bears clearly have the upper hand; DIF and DEA are both low. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the upper band at $3,218, the lower at $2,735. The middle band is at $2,976, almost exactly today’s low—this support is holding for now. If even the middle band can’t hold, it’ll likely keep dropping further.

Switching to the 4-hour timeframe, all eyes are on the $3,000 psychological level: not only is it a sensitive price, but the EMA indicator also forms support here, making it the main battleground for bulls and bears. On the MACD, volume is shrinking and there’s a bearish crossover at a high level, so the short-term bias is bearish. The lower Bollinger Band at $2,972 is still holding, which can serve as a key reference point—if it breaks, follow the trend and go short; if it holds, try a small long position. For a safer approach, keep an eye on the previous low at $2,750—that’s the relatively safe entry point.

Right now it’s all about what happens at $3,000: if it breaks down, expect further downside; if it holds, there’s a chance for an upward move.