#美联储重启降息步伐 Regret getting in too late? Frustrated your position was too small?

Anyone who trades has had these thoughts flash through their mind hundreds of times.

After all these years, I’ve come to realize—those who truly make money don’t rely on guessing price movements.

I used to put my faith in technical analysis too—MACD death and golden crosses, RSI overbought and oversold zones, screens filled with support and resistance lines... The logic could fill half a page, but what happened? The gains from bull markets were given right back in one bear market swing.

The turning point was three months ago. I changed my strategy. I stopped trying to predict tops and bottoms and focused on one thing: following certainty.

How exactly? You might think it sounds dumb—

No more drawing trendlines, no chasing hot narratives—just tracking the on-chain capital flows of major coins. Using a rolling position approach, I turned an $8,000 principal into just over $100,000, kept my take-profit success rate at about 85%, and never got liquidated once.

The core comes down to three things:

**Watch the money, not the patterns.** Price drops aren’t the issue; the issue is when whale addresses start pulling out. As long as smart money stays, I’m willing to follow.

**Scale in, never all-in.** Break every opportunity into three entries—test the waters with an initial position, add more when confirmed, and increase again with floating profits. Keep each stop-loss under 2%, cut losses quickly if wrong, and go bigger if right.

**Contrarian sentiment trading.** Be the first to step in when the market panics; when everyone is FOMOing and chasing highs, I’m already selling off in batches.

At the end of the day: keep your rhythm, don’t make up stories for yourself, and respect every loss. Only take trades with clear logic, and only make moves you’re confident in.

If you’re still stuck in repeated stop-losses and missed opportunities, maybe try a new approach. My method isn’t complicated, but it does require discipline. If you have questions, feel free to chat anytime.