[Rhythm of the Block] This round, BTC retraced from $120,000 to $82,000, and the folks at JPMorgan remained calm. Their "volatility-adjusted model" is still sticking to the $170,000 target price—with a time window of the next six months to a year.
The key is to watch the company Strategy. Right now, their enterprise value to held coin value ratio (mNAV) is stuck at 1.13, and Wall Street is watching closely. If this ratio drops below 1.0, the market will start to worry about a "forced sell-off" scenario. Fortunately, things are still safe for now, and there’s $1.4 billion in cash reserves on the books, so there’s no rush to cut losses.
Interestingly, there’s the January 15 MSCI index decision. JPMorgan believes this is an "asymmetric bet": if it gets kicked out of the index, the slump in October actually already priced in the negatives. But if there’s good news? The stock price could soar.
From a technical perspective, BTC’s mining cost line has already