The market is totally stuck right now—Bitcoin is hovering around 92,500, and Ethereum is stuck at 3,150, unable to move. This rebound has lost steam, but it’s not dropping further either. Why? Everyone is waiting for that data release tonight. I’m talking about the PCE inflation index. How important is this for the market? Put it this way: the Fed is watching this, not CPI. There was a government shutdown before, official data was missing for a while, and now we’re finally getting the first formal report. Institutions, retail investors, even the Fed itself—everyone’s waiting for this. What’s the market expecting? Most people predict the overall PCE annual rate will be 2.8% (last time it was 2.7%), and core PCE might be 2.9%. Doesn’t sound high? The problem is, the Fed’s target is 2%! At this rate, Bank of America has basically said don’t expect it to drop back before 2027. If that’s true, it means inflation has been above target for 55 straight months. The Fed is meeting next week, and right now 87% of the market is betting on a third 25 basis point rate cut. But tonight is key: if the data meets expectations or is lower, the rate cut is basically locked in. If inflation numbers blow past expectations, this rate cut might get put on hold. US stocks are tense, too. The S&P 500 is close to an all-time high; some people worry aggressive AI and data center investments could cause problems, while others are counting on rate cuts to save the economy. If inflation really comes down, US stocks might see a broad rally; if the numbers disappoint, you can bet some people will start selling. For our crypto market, it’s even more direct—small caps and crypto sectors are the most sensitive risk assets to interest rates. If the data is good tonight, institutions might start increasing positions; if the data is weak, money will pull out faster than anyone. So this sideways action is everyone waiting for the referee’s whistle. We’ll see the real result tonight.

Live Trading Tracker Update! Cumulative Performance: 4997% return Tracked Account: Mr. Gui's trading record Latest Trade—ETH Short Position, 66x Leverage Entry Average Price: 3175 Current Status: Slight pullback, -0.65% (unrealized loss of 62U) Do you think this position can still be held? Will ETH continue to drop further this round? Friendly reminder: This is just a live trading observation record, not investment advice. Please view the data rationally.

#比特币对比代币化黄金 Inflation Data Release Imminent: How Will the Crypto Market Respond? Tonight at 23:00, the delayed September PCE data—postponed due to the government shutdown—will be released. This indicator has always been a market weathervane: the stock market watches it closely, and the crypto world cannot escape its influence either. The current market is in a delicate tug-of-war: on one side, expectations of rate cuts are rising; on the other, inflation data may remain stubbornly high. As these forces battle it out, once the data is released tonight, U.S. stocks—especially the tech sector—are likely to experience significant volatility. As a high-risk asset class, crypto’s sensitivity to such macro fluctuations is even greater. What if the PCE shows inflation remains elevated? That would mean the Fed has to maintain its “higher for longer” tightening stance. In this environment, risk assets as a whole come under pressure, and the crypto market will naturally find it hard to stand alone. But what if the data beats expectations and inflation clearly falls? The market will often interpret this as “all the bad news is out,” potentially leading to a wave of sentiment-driven recovery. This is exactly the turning point traders are looking for. For participants, the core tonight isn’t about whether your prediction is right, but whether you can hold the line: First, use leverage with extreme caution. Volatility before and after data releases often exceeds expectations, and several minutes of wild swings can wipe out all gains from the previous days. Second, keep a close eye on linkage effects. U.S. stock performance, $BTC ’s real-time reaction, and subtle changes in capital flows are all key signals for judging short-term trends. Third, stick to your long-term logic. Macro data only disrupts short-term prices; it won’t rewrite the long-term story of the crypto industry. The real allocation opportunities are often hidden in the gaps of these irrational swings. The more chaotic the market, the calmer your mindset needs to be. Most people lose money not to the market, but to panic and overtrading. As long as you stay calm at key moments and don’t get shaken out by emotion, you’ll naturally have your position in the trends to come. $BTC $ETH $SOL