Bitcoin monthly options will expire on March 27, with open interest reaching $18.6 billion, of which call options account for $11.2 billion. As much as 92% of call contracts are expected to expire worthless, with bears holding a structural advantage. Macroeconomic factors such as inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and credit tightening are putting pressure on the market. Liquidity around the options expiration is sensitive and may impact the spot market.
Bitcoin has rebounded recently from $68,000 to $71,674, primarily driven by improved sentiment from cooling US-Iran negotiations and oil prices breaking below $100, which has boosted market recovery. Although approximately $52 million in liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours with long positions accounting for 72%, market assessment suggests healthy bottom formation. However, the Fear and Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone, indicating depressed investor sentiment and serious fund hesitation. Future market movements require attention to the progress of US-Iran negotiations and whether the market can break through resistance levels.