XRP closed Q1 2026 with a return rate of -23.7%, which historically has been a precursor to volatile Q2 performance. Analysis of past 13 years of data indicates that Q2 rarely remains neutral, either experiencing sharp rallies like the 1109% surge in 2017 or sharp declines like the -59.4% drop in 2022. April's average return rate reached a historic high of +24.8%, while June's historical average return rate stands at -5.10%. Given that XRP is currently oversold, the upcoming quarter represents a critical inflection point: April could see a bull market rebound or could extend the downtrend.