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Trump's one sentence triggered a sharp surge in Bitcoin! After breaking through a key obstacle, Bitcoin's next target may reach $98,000
Bitcoin tested a critical level on Tuesday that analysts say has become a key barrier to further gains for several months.
Analysts say this puts the pioneering cryptocurrency on the verge of a breakout, and once it breaks through effectively, its price could once again approach six figures. As signs of easing in the US-Iran situation emerge and market risk appetite quickly recovers, Bitcoin surged strongly in the past 24 hours, briefly breaking through the $76,000 mark.
Bitcoin tested a critical level on Tuesday(April 14), which analysts say has become a key barrier to further gains for several months. Analysts say this puts the pioneering cryptocurrency on the verge of a breakout, and once it breaks through effectively, its price could once again approach six figures.
As signs of easing in the US-Iran situation emerge and market risk appetite quickly recovers, Bitcoin surged strongly in the past 24 hours, briefly breaking through the $76,000 mark, with a significant outperformance compared to the broader risk asset rebound.
The key catalyst igniting the rally comes from the Middle East situation.
Previously, U.S. President Trump signaled Iran's willingness to engage in peace negotiations, prompting the market to bet that geopolitical tensions might ease. Trump told the New York Post that there could be "more negotiations in the next two days," with the location in Pakistan. Trump said, "You’d better stay there because something might happen in the next two days, and we prefer to go there."
As a result, Brent crude oil prices fell back below $100 per barrel, inflation concerns marginally eased, and worries about the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates also diminished, with funds beginning to flow back into stocks and risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
According to FactSet data, the world's largest cryptocurrency Bitcoin reached a trading high of $76,094 on Tuesday, then retreated to about $74,333 in the afternoon.
Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, said Bitcoin briefly broke through the key resistance level of $75,200. Stockton used a daily cloud model to identify this critical technical barrier, a widely used indicator among technical analysts.
For Bitcoin, which has been in a bear market zone since November last year and remains over 40% below its all-time high of $126,272.76 set on October 6, maintaining this level is crucial.
Typically, a bear market is defined as a decline of 20% or more from a recent high. Stockton and other technical analysts pointed out that if Bitcoin can stay above $75,200, it may mean that after months of pressure, it has finally regained momentum. But if it falls back again, it indicates many investors still see the rally as a selling opportunity.
Focus on whether Bitcoin can sustain above $75,200.
Stockton told MarketWatch in an interview that if Bitcoin can "hold above $75,200 for a few days—unlike similar breakout attempts in mid-January—that would mark a short-term breakout." In this case, Bitcoin's near-term outlook would improve, with the next target at $98,200.
Another technical indicator provided by Tyler Richey, technical analyst and co-editor of Sevens Report Research, also suggests that Bitcoin's technical pattern is becoming more attractive. Richey told MarketWatch on Tuesday, "The risk-reward ratio for buying or adding to Bitcoin is significantly improving right now." He pointed out that if Bitcoin futures can confirm a breakout above $74,685, the cryptocurrency could quickly rise to $83,190.
Subsequently, investors should look toward the second target of $92,000. However, if Bitcoin futures fail to break through this level, it indicates that too many investors still see downside risk as outweighing short-term upside potential.
Richey wrote, "This failure may not necessarily be a bearish signal, but it will keep the strategic technical outlook neutral for a period."
On Tuesday, major U.S. stock indexes rose, signaling strong technical momentum. According to Dow Jones market data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.7% on Tuesday. The S&P 500 index reached its highest level in two months, less than 0.2% below its all-time closing high. The Nasdaq Composite recorded its 10th consecutive trading day of gains, the longest streak since November 2021.