Gate News reports that on March 19, according to PolyBeats monitoring, the current probability of Brazilian football star Neymar participating in the 2026 World Cup for Brazil on the prediction market Polymarket is 44%. According to settlement rules, if Neymar plays in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage or later stages, the market will settle as “Yes.” Any form of appearance counts, including regular time, injury time, extra time, or penalty shootouts. Neymar has previously represented Brazil in three consecutive World Cups in 2014, 2018, and 2022. After being eliminated in the quarter-finals of the 2022 Qatar World Cup, he publicly stated he cannot guarantee 100% that he will return to the national team. By the time the 2026 World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico takes place, Neymar will be 34 years old. Since suffering a torn anterior cruciate ligament at the end of 2023, Neymar has undergone a long recovery period, and after returning, he has repeatedly faced muscle strains and other issues, significantly reducing his playing time. Additionally, the Brazilian national team has recently been gradually establishing an attacking system centered around the younger generation of forwards during call-ups and tactical drills. Head coach Carlo Ancelotti has explicitly stated that players must be in “100% condition” to be selected, regardless of fame.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Encourage innovation! A U.S. judge and a French judge ban Arizona from regulating prediction markets, and suspend the prosecution of Kalshi
A U.S. federal district court ruled that Arizona is prohibited from using its gambling laws to prosecute prediction market platform Kalshi, finding that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has exclusive jurisdiction. The ruling affects the boundary between state and federal authority in financial market regulation, while Kalshi insists that its business is a financial product rather than traditional gambling. Decisions regarding prediction markets vary from state to state, and the Trump family has also expressed support for prediction markets.
CryptoCity30m ago
Polymarket Prepares pUSD Rollout and Protocol Upgrade to Cut Failed Trades
Polymarket's protocol upgrade introduces pUSD, a USDC-backed collateral token on Polygon, enhancing order management, reducing failed trades, and lowering gas costs. The update aims for a smoother user experience while improving trading architecture and security.
CryptoNewsFlash2h ago
Encourage innovation! A U.S. judge bans Arizona’s regulation of prediction markets, and suspends the prosecution of Kalshi.
A U.S. federal district court ruled that Arizona is barred from using its gambling laws to prosecute prediction market platform Kalshi, finding that the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission has exclusive jurisdiction. The decision affects the boundary between state and federal authority in financial market regulation, while Kalshi insists that its business is a financial product rather than traditional gambling. Rulings on prediction markets vary across states, and the Trump family has also expressed support for prediction markets.
CryptoCity3h ago
Encourage innovation! U.S. judges ban Arizona state regulation of prediction markets, and halt the prosecution of Kalshi
A U.S. federal district court ruled that Arizona is barred from using its gambling laws to prosecute prediction market platform Kalshi, finding that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has exclusive jurisdiction. The ruling affects the boundary between state and federal authority over financial market regulation, and Kalshi insists that its business is a financial product rather than traditional gambling. Courts in different states have reached different decisions regarding prediction markets, and the Trump family has also expressed support for prediction markets.
CryptoCity6h ago
Gate Stock Zone launches 5 Pre-IPO perpetual contracts from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others on April 13, offering 1–10x leverage trading
Gate News message, according to a Gate official announcement on April 13, 2026
The Gate Stock Trading Zone will be available for the pre-market trading of five USDT-settled perpetual contract order books—OPENAI, ANTHROPIC, ANDURIL, KALSHI, and POLYMARKET—starting on April 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UTC+8). It supports 1x to 10x leverage for long and short positions.
OpenAI is an artificial intelligence research laboratory that has developed products such as ChatGPT and DALL·E. It is currently in the Pre-IPO stage. Anthropic is a large-model company founded by former core members of OpenAI, focusing on secure and reliable AI. Anduril Industries is an AI and autonomous defense technology company co-founded by Palmer Luckey, the founder of Oculus. Kalshi is a prediction market exchange regulated by the U.S. CFTC. Polymarket is the world’s largest decentralized prediction market.
All contracts calculate prices using a valuation unit of $1 billion. For example, when a company’s valuation is $800 billion, the unit price is $800.
GateAnnouncement8h ago
Polymarket high-win-rate account buys $58k in wagers betting on BLG to beat JDG
The message says that on April 13, a certain account placed a win bet of about $58k on Bilibili Gaming in the League of Legends esports World Cup China qualifiers, with a win rate of over 77%. Bilibili Gaming has been in good form recently, while JD Gaming has performed poorly; the winner will have a chance to advance to the main esports World Cup event.
GateNews9h ago
