VanEck: Bitcoin Miners Sitting on a "Gold Mine," AI Demand Market Not Yet Priced In

Bitcoin Mining Turns to AI

VanEck Digital Asset Research Director Matthew Sigel told CNBC that Bitcoin miners have already secured what AI data centers have spent years trying to build—power infrastructure—and the market’s current pricing has not fully reflected this. Sigel pointed out that, based on market value per megawatt, the stock trading prices of Bitcoin mining machines are still significantly below those of data center peers.

Why Bitcoin Miners Hold the Most Scarce Resource in AI

Building new data centers from scratch means waiting in line for grid interconnection, which could delay until 2028 or later. Bitcoin miners have bypassed this bottleneck because their existing infrastructure happens to align closely with the needs of AI data centers:

Locked-in Grid Relationships: Miners have long-term power contracts and grid interconnection, which are the hardest first-mover advantages to replicate quickly and are resources that AI data centers desperately need but cannot access immediately.

Cooling and Power Systems: The demand for intensive computing power in mining has driven the development of advanced cooling and stable power supply systems, perfectly matching the requirements of AI computing.

Grid Flexibility Services: This is a widely overlooked revenue angle. Miners can flexibly shut down computing power based on grid demand, providing “dispatchable load” services to grid operators. As AI clusters and enterprise backflows continue to pressure the grid, this flexibility has evolved into a directly sellable commercial service.

Valuation Gap Reality: Mining Machines Target 20 GW Expansion Goal

Mining Capacity
(Source: CoinWarz)

Public mining equipment currently has about 7 GW of capacity, with a target to expand to 20 GW by 2027, nearly tripling. Meanwhile, AI data centers’ power demand is expected to grow at 24% annually until 2030. The intersection of these two growth curves provides a structural tailwind for miners with suitable infrastructure.

Global mining hash rate has declined about 6% since its peak in November 2025, partly because hash resources are being reallocated to AI workloads. This indicates a measurable shift in mining capacity.

Concrete Examples of Mining Industry Transformation: From Concept to Execution

Current major listed miners’ AI transformation progress:

MARA: Converting mining farms into large-scale data center campuses.

Core Scientific: Secured up to $1 billion in funding from Morgan Stanley to support AI transformation.

CleanSpark: In Q1 2026, explicitly stated that, at current hash rate prices, Bitcoin mining ROI is less than AI business, and has adjusted capital allocation accordingly.

Bitdeer: Deployed 50,000 self-developed ASIC chips on a 413 MW grid, expected to add 33 EH/s of network hash rate, which at current Bitcoin prices translates to approximately $335 million in additional annual revenue.

Sigel said that the Q1 2026 financial report will be a real test, and the market needs to closely monitor three key indicators: power capacity data, AI contract announcements, and revenue from curtailment services.

Frequently Asked Questions

What inherent advantages do Bitcoin miners have in the AI infrastructure race?

Main advantages include: established grid interconnection (new applications may need to wait until after 2028), existing land, power contracts, cooling systems, and the ability to offer “dispatchable load” curtailment services to grid operators. These assets are scarce resources that AI data centers seek but are difficult to replicate quickly.

What does VanEck mean by “the market has not yet priced in” this potential?

Matthew Sigel pointed out that, based on market value per megawatt, the stock prices of listed Bitcoin mining machines are still far below those of data center peers. This suggests the market has not fully accounted for the potential of miners’ transition to AI infrastructure, and valuation gaps may narrow as data on mining transformation continues to emerge.

How does a 6% decline in global hash rate affect the Bitcoin network?

Since its peak in November 2025, the global hash rate has decreased about 6%, partly because hash resources are being reallocated to AI workloads. This change is not yet enough to threaten Bitcoin network security but indicates a substantial reallocation of resources between Bitcoin mining and AI computing, which warrants ongoing attention.

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