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The current status of on-chain governance Futarchy
“The Current State of Futarchy in On-Chain Governance” (Author: Zack Pokorny) This article explores the application of Futarchy in the governance of DAOs and the development of its on-chain prediction markets. Futarchy is a governance model that guides decision-making through prediction markets, separating the setting of objectives from the methods of achieving them, leveraging the predictive capabilities of financial markets and the real monetary stakes of participants to incentivize more accurate predictions and rigorous analysis. The article also analyzes the performance of platforms like Polymarket and MetaDAO in the practice of Futarchy, as well as the expansion and application of Futarchy within the Solana and Ethereum ecosystems. The prediction market of Polymarket saw a decline in usage following the U.S. elections, but it remains above pre-election levels, indicating sustained market activity. Solana’s MetaDAO is the first large-scale implementation of Futarchy governance, having provided 62 Futarchy services to 9 DAOs since its launch in November 2023. Optimism and the Uniswap Foundation announced a joint exploration of the application of prediction markets in governance, among other initiatives.