After the non-farm payrolls report, the probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in June has increased.

金色财经_ · 2026-04-03T16:40:48+00:00

Golden Finance reports that on April 3rd, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%, both unchanged from before the announcement. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 2.0% (down from 7.8% before the announcement), the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 97.5% (up from 91.7%), and the probability of a total increase of 25 basis points remains at 0.5% (unchanged from before the announcement).

金色财经_

2026-04-03 16:40:48

Golden Finance reports, April 3—according to CME’s “FedWatch”: the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability it will keep rates unchanged is 99.5%, both the same as before the announcement. The probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 2.0% (from 7.8% before the announcement). The probability it will keep rates unchanged is 97.5% (from 91.7% before the announcement). The probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 0.5% (the same as before the announcement).

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