Lin Ruize's outlook for next week long-term: Good evening everyone, I wonder how everyone has been resting these days? Recently, many people have been dazzled by this wave of rebound in the market, thinking that the "hedge risk bull" has returned, but I’ll directly give the conclusion: next week will be more bearish, and the long-term is even more bearish. We are currently in a stage of high-level trap and false breakout.

1. First, let's look at the US-Iran situation. The US and Iran seem to be tense, with repeated closures of the Strait of Hormuz, US ships detaining vessels, and negotiations being vague. Bitcoin keeps "rising briefly" and is hyped as a bull comeback, but in reality, if things really escalate again, the market will crash first because it’s not gold, including these rebounds, which are purely ceasefire extensions and short-term capital speculation, not a fundamental reversal. The cancellation of the Saudi trip by #美伊谈判陷入僵局 indicates that negotiations are insincere, and the deadlock will drag on for a long time.

2. Second, combining recent market movements, we see that at high levels, trading volume shrinks. Bitcoin struggles to break above around 79k yuan, and even when it reaches that level, it doesn’t stabilize. Trading volume is decreasing, a typical "new high with no volume," with MACD divergence at the top and selling pressure above, making 80k a strong resistance that is hard to break through effectively. #加密市场行情震荡

3. Third, regarding the cycle issue, now institutions are starting to differentiate. Those who kept buying before are now reducing their positions at high levels, leaving only retail investors hoping for new highs. The cycle top has already passed; the peak in October 2025 at 126k yuan is the major top. Currently, it’s a bear market rebound, not a new bull market. You can also check this information. #WCTC交易王PK

4. Lastly, let’s talk about next week’s outlook and how to approach the long-term. Next week, around 78k yuan will be the top, then it will fall back to 74,000–75k yuan, and if it can’t hold, it will drop directly below 70k. For the long-term, wait until this rebound ends, and Bitcoin will return to the main downward wave of the bear market. By the end of the year, a range of 50,000–60k yuan is not exaggerated.

That’s all I have to say. Whether you can learn to understand the market depends entirely on yourself! Friends who understand, start taking action! $BTC