The Iran-U.S. weekend negotiations are imminent, and the market has already priced in expectations.

BTC 74,500 / ETH 2,320 are under pressure; panic preemptive moves are not pessimistic about the negotiations but are insurance against uncertainty. Looking at the previous round's attitude, this round's focus is on the final stance—while the Strait issue remains unchanged, both sides' bottom lines are becoming clearer, and the probability of an agreement is already being priced in.

Key levels

· BTC: Strong resistance at 75,500, the dividing line between bulls and bears at 73,200, sentiment pivot below 73,000
· ETH: Target resistance at 2,380, critical level at 2,320, if it falls below 2,280, the next support is 2,250–2,220

Night session watch
BTC 73,200 / ETH 2,280 gains or losses determine short-term emotional leverage.

Judgment
The market is preemptively squeezing out room for positive "result" expectations. When the news is confirmed, that will be the moment for real volatility release. Path speculation: first break down to induce a trap, then accelerate the recovery. $BTC $ETH