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Will crude oil still rise? Can cryptocurrencies continue to surge? It all depends on this one thing!
All questions can actually be boiled down to one variable:
— Will the situation escalate?
If it doesn't escalate:
✔ Crude oil remains volatile at high levels
✔ Cryptocurrencies continue to recover
✔ Gold stabilizes and returns to normal
If it escalates:
✔ Crude oil keeps pushing higher
✔ Cryptocurrencies come under pressure
✔ Gold strengthens
Which side is the market betting on right now?
— Not escalating.
So risk assets are starting to rebound.
But there's a trap here:
If this "bet" is wrong, the pullback can be very quick.
How should the allocation be made?
✔ No full positions
✔ Use hedging
✔ Keep cash
One sentence summary:
Be optimistic, but always have an exit strategy. #加密市场回升