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Recently, I've seen a bunch of people focusing on large on-chain transfers and hot/cold wallet analyses from exchanges, all interpreting it as "smart money coming in." I usually just… watch and see. If I really want to act, I go back to considering gas fees and user experience and how to balance them.
For someone like me, an ordinary person, honestly, don’t worry about whether you believe in the mainnet or not: for daily swaps and small interactions, I use L2. It’s quick to get on board and the fees are manageable; for large amounts held long-term, I still find a time to move back to the mainnet to secure the profits—it's more expensive, but I sleep better. As for cross-chain steps, I’ll try small amounts first; don’t go all-in right away, because when the bridge or routing acts up, it can be quite annoying.
I’m more like calculating whether "the cost structure of this operation is worth it," rather than chasing "who moved tens of thousands of dollars on-chain." That’s all for now.