I just noticed that the markets are becoming nervous again. Trump spoke during prime time and completely wiped out the cautious rally of the past few days. Instead of de-escalation with Iran, there are now tough tones for the next two to three weeks – and the market hates uncertainty.

Bitcoin is currently around $74,120, down nearly 1% in 24 hours. But honestly, that's still relatively mild considering what's happening right now. Ether dropped 2.6% to $2,330. BNB loses 0.56% to $614. XRP falls 1.38% to $1.35. Solana is hit the hardest – SOL has fallen 3.66% in 24 hours and, over the week, is even down 1.64%.

The pattern from the past few weeks repeats itself: hope for de-escalation, then a headline comes out, and suddenly – everything drops again. Bitcoin swings between $60,000 and $73,000 like a yo-yo. The Fear and Greed Index is at 8 – in the extreme fear zone. Many traders are completely exhausted from this volatility.

What’s interesting, though: April is historically one of the strongest months for Bitcoin. In 10 out of 15 years, BTC finished April with an average gain of 20.9%. And technically, Bitcoin bounced off the $60,000 mark last week – an important support level. The 50-day moving average could play a role again.

The problem: seasonal patterns don’t hold up against a real conflict. As long as geopolitical tensions persist, this up-and-down dance will continue. Oil prices have shot up over $106 per barrel – dragging the entire risk market down with it.

Those who remain calm here are watching the $60,000 line for Bitcoin. If it holds, it could go back up. But without real de-escalation signals, the risk remains high. I’m keeping an eye on Gate for the next moves – if anything moves here, you should be able to react quickly.