Markets opened the week on edge as geopolitical shockwaves collided with fragile crypto momentum. The Strait of Hormuz blockade sent oil surging above $100, injecting fresh uncertainty into global markets and placing Bitcoin at a critical crossroads.

Despite the tension, Bitcoin held above $70,000 on the weekly close—a sign of resilience, but not strength. Each push higher continues to be met with aggressive profit-taking, capping upside and reinforcing a stubborn ceiling in the $70K–$73K range.

Macro pressure is building. Rising oil prices threaten to fuel inflation, with upcoming U.S. PPI data likely to reflect the early impact. If inflation persists, tighter monetary policy could follow—historically a headwind for risk assets like crypto.

Technically, the market remains indecisive. Analysts warn that another dip may still be needed to confirm a true bottom, while short-term charts show weakening momentum. Yet beneath the surface, a shift is forming—sell-side pressure is easing, and long-term holders are quietly accumulating.

For now, Bitcoin sits in a tense equilibrium: supported, but capped; stable, yet vulnerable. The next decisive move may not come from charts alone—but from the unfolding macro storm.
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