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If the U.S. stock market is about to usher in a bear market, even a major correction in the secondary wave, the crypto world will suffer greatly.
Tracing back in history, the U.S. stock market has experienced this four times, with a sustained rally before the big crash, almost reaching the previous high.
Subsequently, there was heavy selling at the historical high point, leading to panic and a stampede.
It is worth noting that in history, this situation has occurred four times, and in every case, a major crash followed without exception.
Below are the NASDAQ's new high on October 27, 2026, and the low on March 30, 2026, as well as the recent two-week rebound magnitude:
24019-20690=3329
23011-20690=2321
2321/3329=0.6975063623
Below is the data for Bitcoin at the same time points:
113643-65000=48643 {from October 27, 2025, to March 30, 2026}
73434-65000=8434 {from March 30, 2026, to the recent high}
8434/48643=0.17338
From the rebound strength comparison, Bitcoin's rebound relative to NASDAQ is negligible, so the capital's goal from start to finish isn't the crypto market; the most brutal battlefield could be a slaughter targeting the stock market.
The crypto market is just a spillover effect, so recently there has been no big rise or fall, just a neutral situation.
Imagine how the crypto market would look if the NASDAQ suddenly crashes later.
Now let's look at the technical aspect:
Bitcoin at around 75,000 will face huge selling pressure from previous highs, and it coincides with the upper band of the Vegas Channel on the 4-hour chart.
Referring to previous analysis, historical bull flags, and comparisons with peers, as long as it hits the strongest resistance of the channel and breaks through, it will form a trend continuation.
Therefore, I will short Bitcoin around 75,000; it must be shorted.
The corresponding Ethereum level would be around 2,345 (can slightly adjust the level).
#Gate现货衍生品双双冲进全球前三 $BTC $ETH