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So Ray Dalio just said on the All-In podcast that Bitcoin shouldn't be compared to gold. The timing is interesting because that week, Bitcoin performed better than gold during the US-Iran crisis.
Dalio's argument is quite familiar: Bitcoin isn't backed by central banks, it doesn't have privacy (every transaction is transparent), and it faces long-term quantum computing risks. He says "there's only one gold" and gold is the most established money held by central banks.
But in practice, data shows a different story. When Dalio said that, gold dropped 3% while Bitcoin only fell 0.7%. Previously, from July to early October, both assets moved in tandem, but after the crypto crash in October, they started moving in opposite directions. Bitcoin fell 45% from its October peak, while gold rose 30% to $5,100. This raises the question of whether gold can be renewed as a safe haven in the digital age.
The world is changing. According to Dalio himself, the US-led order has already collapsed, and investors need to rethink how to protect wealth. But that week, no asset truly functioned as a perfect safe haven. Both were volatile, with Bitcoin slightly less volatile than gold. An outcome not predicted by Dalio's framework.
Interestingly, he himself isn't entirely bearish on Bitcoin. Dalio holds about 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin for diversification, and in July, he recommended allocating 15% to Bitcoin or gold, calling it the "best risk-return ratio" given America's debt trajectory. So the question is: can gold's relevance be renewed, or do we really need a more hybrid portfolio?
Dalio's criticism of Bitcoin's privacy is also worth noting. Every transaction can be monitored, even potentially controlled. Central banks may never want to accumulate assets on a public ledger. This is a valid concern.
But the bigger question is: can gold be renewed for this era? When geopolitical crises happen, gold often drops but then rises. Bitcoin has yet to prove itself as a reliable hedge. Two assets, two competing narratives. Clearly, that week didn't make Dalio's arguments easier to defend. The market is actively debating this, and the outcome remains open.
Latest data shows BTC around $73K, and momentum remains interesting amid global uncertainty. For investors thinking about wealth protection, this is a crucial time to reevaluate allocation strategies between traditional and digital assets.