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I just came across an interesting forecast from Mike McGlone — he warns that Bitcoin could crash down to $10 000 if a full-blown recession develops in the U.S. Honestly, such scenarios should be taken seriously, especially considering the current macroeconomic situation.
The essence of his argument is that the risk of recession in the U.S. directly affects investors' appetite for risky assets. When the economy starts to falter, assets like cryptocurrencies are the first to be hit. This is not a new story — we've seen similar situations in past crises.
What's interesting is that Bitcoin is currently trading around $72.7k, and the distance to $10K seems huge. But if we talk about a recession on the level of 2008-2009 or even more severe, such declines are theoretically possible. The volatility of the crypto market makes it feasible.
Personally, I believe it's important to monitor macroeconomic indicators — they often give signals before the market reacts. If signs of a recession become more apparent, it will definitely influence crypto investors' behavior. For now, the situation remains unstable, and forecasts like McGlone's are more of a reminder that one should be prepared for different scenarios.