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JPMorgan Chase CEO warns of U.S. debt crisis, predicts debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 120% by 2036
CryptoWorld News reports that JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon issued a warning in a letter to shareholders, pointing out that the United States is facing a severe debt crisis and downside risks in the credit cycle. Dimon said that, amid a relatively healthy macroeconomic backdrop, global sovereign debt is still at an all-time high, with the global deficit rate at an extremely high 5%. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts that the share of U.S. debt as a percentage of GDP will rise from the current 100% to 120% by 2036. He emphasized that the United States must take immediate action to address the surge in debt, but given current trends, the problem is likely to evolve into a full-blown crisis.
In the credit markets, Dimon warned that the downturn in the credit cycle will lead to leveraged loan losses far exceeding expectations. He analyzed that, because future earnings assumptions are overly aggressive, credit covenant terms have been loosened, the use of payment-in-kind (PIK) has increased, and market arbitrage behavior has become widespread, overall credit standards have already weakened significantly, further amplifying systemic financial risks.