📊 Wolf Analysis | 2026.04.10

Market Description
24h Price Change
BTC $72,214 (+1.55%)🟢
ETH $2,217 (+1.63%)🟢
SOL $83.63 (+2.02%)🟢
BNB $602 (+0.12%)🟢
CPI below expectations boosts market rebound, SOL leads with over 2% gain.
1h Trend: BTC sharply rises from $71,910 to $72,214, trading volume expands from 560 BTC to 780 BTC, confirming increased volume on the rise; ETH climbs from $2,197 to $2,217, with a volume of 20.6K; SOL from $83.31 to $83.63; BNB from $600.71 to $603.49. The 1h chart shows a "bullish exhaustion → buying interest" structure, with bulls in the lead.
15m Trend: BTC consolidates in a narrow range between $72,214 and $72,262, volume shrinks to 31.3 BTC (below the previous candle); ETH consolidates between $2,217 and $2,223; SOL operates narrowly between $83.63 and $83.74; BNB between $602.88 and $603.50. The first wave of volatility after CPI release has ended, and the market enters a new sideways consolidation.
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Market Drivers
① CPI below expectations, March YoY +2.9% (expected +3.0%)
US CPI Data: Overall CPI YoY +2.9% (below expected +3.0%), core CPI +3.1% (below expected +3.2%). Inflation pressure eases, and rate cut expectations slightly increase. Gold temporarily rises 0.2% to $4,773, risk assets rebound in sync.
② Trump’s Iran policy pushes last month’s inflation tripled
CNN: Trump’s Iran policy caused March US inflation to triple. Geopolitical costs are beginning to show in macro data, and markets start pricing in the possibility of easing "inflation + geopolitical" pressures.
③ Negotiation news continues to boost market sentiment
Barrons feature: Peace talks are boosting BTC and XRP prices, market risk appetite warms. Vance states Trump provided "fairly clear guidelines" for negotiations; Washington Post: Trump was still angry about Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz before negotiations. Overall signals indicate negotiations are still progressing.
④ Gold hits $4,773 new high, inflation hedging support continues
Reuters: After CPI data, spot gold rises to $4,773/oz, hitting a new record high. BTC and gold move in tandem, supporting the narrative of digital gold.
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⚠️ Risk Warning
• CPI below expectations at 2.6%, but absolute value remains high; Fed rate cut path remains uncertain
• Geopolitical negotiations have not yet materialized; the Hormuz deadlock could be broken at any time
• BTC faces short-term resistance at $72,700; a volume breakout is needed to continue the rebound
• BNB is relatively weak, with clear resistance between $604 and $606
• Prioritize position management; avoid excessive chasing of longs#美伊停火协议谈判再生变故