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An interesting study has emerged among Bitcoin news. According to analysis by a major exchange in ブラジル, Bitcoin appears to tend to outperform traditional safe assets such as gold and stocks in the two months immediately after a global crisis.
More specifically, when looking at the 60 days following an economic or geopolitical shock, Bitcoin recorded higher returns than gold and the S&P 500 across all the periods analyzed. For example, after the Trump administration announced tariffs in April last year, Bitcoin rose 24% over 60 days. Meanwhile, gold rose 8%, and stock indices rose 4%. The same pattern was seen even during the COVID-19 outbreak in March 2020: Bitcoin rose 21%, while other assets lagged behind.
However, the study’s lead researcher warns, “It’s dangerous to judge based only on performance right after a crisis.” It’s like assuming you know the ending after watching just the first few minutes of a movie— in reality, during moments when investors panic and sell to avoid risk, any asset can decline.
What’s still interesting, though, is that during the subsequent recovery phase, Bitcoin consistently rebounds. The same thing is happening with the current situation between 米国 and イラン. Since the outbreak of war, Bitcoin has risen by more than 2.2% and has come back to around $67,300. Meanwhile, gold is down 11%, and stocks have posted a loss of 4.4%. Volatility is certainly high, but looking back over the past 10 years, there’s no doubt that Bitcoin has been the top-performing asset.
Tracking these kinds of Bitcoin news makes it clear that Bitcoin is gradually being recognized not just as a speculative asset, but for its role in asset allocation during times of crisis. In the latest data, it’s currently trading in the low 72,000 range, in a period where it’s continuing to rise further.